ElectionsOct 25

Brazil Presidential election winner?

In The next presidential election

Evidence & research ↓

Stored event-graph relation · view the related analysis →

The Market Read

14 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets14Kalshi volume5.2M contractsEvent venuesKalshichecking coverage…

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Flávio Bolsonaro

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·1.2M contracts vol

Yes 57%No 43%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·1.1M contracts vol

Yes 45%No 55%

Renan Santos

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·977.6K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Romeu Zema

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·324.2K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Tarcísio de Freitas

Will Tarcisio de Frietas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·268K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Jair Bolsonaro

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·259.1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Ronaldo Caiado

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·218.5K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Augusto Cury

Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·215K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Fernando Haddad

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·210K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Ratinho Júnior

Will Ratinho Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·138.9K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Michelle Bolsonaro

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·105.6K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Aldo Rebelo

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·79.9K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·57.7K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Ciro Gomes

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:28 UTC·238 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.