Loading…

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Selected contract: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

No additional matching venue quote is available for this outcome yet.

All event outcomes →

Checking venue odds for this outcome…

All event outcomes →

— volume· Venue-attributed quote refreshes every 8s

Yes97.5%No2.5%

Bid/ask midpoint · WET received 2026-09-29 01:40 UTC

Loading price history…

Native contract response received 2026-09-29 01:40:56.531 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC: one listing key checked against 1581 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026Electionpresident · brazilevent identity
2028-10-03 14:00 UTCKalshi contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing: View on Kalshi

Kalshi · retrieved 2026-09-29 01:40 UTC · venue terms permit display · venue-settlement-rules/v1

Actions

Evidence

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Community Read

— yes · 0 votes

WET InsightVenue-attributed

Market backs Yes at 97.5% — all but decided.

This read covers the selected venue quote. See the venue evidence for related contracts.
Thin book — moves cheaply.

WET Odds

Selected venue snapshot

Yes

97.5%

2.5%

Kalshi97.5%—$0 liquidity

This snapshot shows the selected venue contract. Related venue evidence is shown separately when available.

Live Trades

Kalshi tape · Yes

Loading the tape…

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

WET Index relationship

Anchor research

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Official — venue settlement rules

WET Odds

Live Trades

View venue listings

View venue listings

Signal Sheet email updates are currently off

WET Index relationship

Anchor research

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Official — venue settlement rules

View venue listings