When will EA's take-private acquisition close? — Odds
By Corbin V King · Updated August 3, 2026
Final prediction market odds for When will EA's take-private acquisition close? — Odds: Before Sep 1, 2026 closed at 99% implied probability on Kalshi…
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled August 3, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Before Sep 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 99% | 10.9K contracts |
Before Aug 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 1% | 10K contracts |
Before Oct 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 99% | 3.7K contracts |
Before Nov 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 99% | 1.1K contracts |
Before Apr 1, 2027 | Kalshi | 99% | 606 contracts |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | Kalshi | 99% | 280 contracts |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | Kalshi | 99% | 251 contracts |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 19/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 0/30 | No positive venue-reported volume was available at snapshot time. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 11/15 | 7 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 0/15 | 0 attributable days tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
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Key takeaways
- Final market read: Before Sep 1, 2026 at 99% implied probability on Kalshi.
- The odds moved from 94% at the start of coverage to 99% at close.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 99% implied probability for Before Sep 1, 2026 on Kalshi.
The market's final read
The market closed all but certain: Before Sep 1, 2026 at 99% implied probability. No attributable venue-native volume is published for this observation.
How the odds moved
W.E.T. tracked this market for 6 days: Before Sep 1, 2026 opened our coverage at 94%, ranged between 94% and 99%, and closed at 99%. Implied probability is the market's price read as a percentage — a live, venue-attributed estimate that repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Finances odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for When will EA's take-private acquisition close? — Odds?
The market closed with Before Sep 1, 2026 at 99% implied probability on Kalshi. That was the final venue-attributed read before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get When will EA's take-private acquisition close? — Odds right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 99% for Before Sep 1, 2026. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
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