SportsSettled · September 22, 2026Sun, Sep 20, 3:59 AM UTC

331: Chikadze vs Brito: Prediction, Odds & Probability

By Corbin V King · Updated September 22, 2026

This market has settled. Its final read (September 22, 2026) was a 79% implied probability for Joanderson Brito on Kalshi.

Final implied probability

Market favorite

Joanderson Brito — market favorite

Kalshi

79%

Implied

36W.E.T. Score

The slate at this observation

Ceremony

331

13 categories priced

Still contested

8

inside 15 points

Tightest

+0

Gandra vs Diaz: Prediction, Odds & Probability

Gandra vs Diaz: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Contested
  • Ends before Round 3?81%
  • Ryan Gandra81%
  • Fight won by KO/TKO?76%
  • Gandra to win by KO/TKO?70%
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds67%
  • Ends before Round 2?56%

+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Tuivasa vs Despaigne: Oddssettled

Contested
  • Ends before Round 3?82%
  • Fight won by KO/TKO?82%
  • Robelis Despaigne81%
  • Despaigne to win by KO/TKO?72%
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds65%
  • Ends before Round 2?57%

+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Moicano vs Ortega: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Contested
  • Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega64%
  • Renato Moicano64%
  • Moicano to win by KO/TKO?51%
  • Decision or Draw51%
  • Ends before Round 2?51%
  • Ends before Round 3?51%

+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Steveson vs Sharaf: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Contested
  • Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf94%
  • Gable Steveson93%
  • Ends before Round 3?90%
  • Fight won by KO/TKO?77%
  • Steveson to win by KO/TKO?75%
  • Ends before Round 2?72%

+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Chikadze vs Brito: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Contested
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds83%
  • Joanderson Brito79%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds62%
  • Ends before Round 3?52%
  • Fight won by submission?42%
  • Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito22%

+4 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Menifield vs Baraniewski: Oddssettled

Contested
  • Ends before Round 3?78%
  • Fight won by KO/TKO?69%
  • Iwo Baraniewski69%
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds63%
  • Ends before Round 2?60%
  • Baraniewski to win by KO/TKO?54%

+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Vera vs Jourdain: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Contested
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds93%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds79%
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds69%
  • Fight to Go the Distance?68%
  • Decision or Draw67%
  • Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain35%

+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Tsarukyan vs Ruffy: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Contested
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
  • Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy74%
  • Arman Tsarukyan73%
  • Ends before Round 5?68%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
  • Ends before Round 4?57%

+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

O'Neill vs Moura: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Clear favourite
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds77%
  • Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura68%
  • Casey O'Neill68%
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds68%
  • Fight to Go the Distance?64%

+15 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Aswell vs Yoo: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Clear favourite
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds91%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds75%
  • Joo Sang Yoo65%
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds64%
  • Decision or Draw60%
  • Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo37%

+16 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Pitbull vs Choi: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Clear favourite
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds89%
  • Doo Ho Choi72%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds54%
  • Fight to Go the Distance?47%
  • Choi to win by KO/TKO?36%

+17 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Van vs Pantoja: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled

Clear favourite
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds90%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds73%
  • O/U 2.5 Rounds59%
  • Joshua Van58%
  • Ends before Round 5?56%
  • Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van43%

+17 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Shahbazyan vs Ferreira: Oddssettled

Clear favourite
  • O/U 0.5 Rounds83%
  • Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira64%
  • Edmen Shahbazyan63%
  • O/U 1.5 Rounds57%
  • Fight won by KO/TKO?54%
  • Ends before Round 3?52%

+19 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more

Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.

Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled September 22, 2026

OutcomeVenueImplied

Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito

Moneyline
Polymarket22%

Brito to win by KO/TKO?

Moneyline
Polymarket15%

Chikadze to win by KO/TKO?

Moneyline
Polymarket9%

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Totals
Polymarket83%

Joanderson Brito

Kalshi79%

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Totals
Polymarket62%

Ends before Round 3?

Polymarket52%

Fight won by submission?

Polymarket42%

Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.

Evidencestored reads, labeled by measure

Evidence

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

W.E.T. Score

How much signal is behind this number?

The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.

Scored from the final settled snapshot · 36/100 · Thin Signal

36Thin Signal
ComponentPointsWhat the data says
Liquidity10/30The event combines unlike venue-native volume units. W.E.T. does not add contracts to dollars, so this component remains at the documented neutral 10/30.
News corroboration0/20No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone.
Cross-venue verification8/20No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20.
Market coverage12/158 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story.
Track-record depth6/154 attributable days tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit.

The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.

The desk layer

Prediction desk tools

The published reading above is complete. Account-aware tools load after the article settles so identity work cannot compete with the answer.

Checking desk access…

Key takeaways

  • Final market read: Joanderson Brito at 79% implied probability on Kalshi.
  • The odds moved from 79% at the start of coverage to 79% at close.
  • This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.

This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 79% implied probability for Joanderson Brito on Kalshi.

The market's final read

The market's final lean was Joanderson Brito at 79% — favored, but not a lock. Dollar volume and contract counts remain separate; no mixed total is published.

How the odds moved

W.E.T. tracked this market for 4 days: Joanderson Brito opened our coverage at 79%, ranged between 78% and 79%, and closed at 79%. Implied probability is the attributed venue listing's price read as a percentage. It repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.

Why settled odds still matter

A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

Browse the live Sports odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.

Frequently asked questions

What were the final odds for 331: Chikadze vs Brito?

The market closed with Joanderson Brito at 79% implied probability on Kalshi. That was W.E.T.'s final attributed listing observation before the market settled.

Did the prediction market get 331: Chikadze vs Brito right?

This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 79% for Joanderson Brito. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.

Are these odds still live?

No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.

Markets & sources

From the W.E.T. WirePlatforms

Best Prediction Market Platforms: Kalshi, Polymarket & Beyond

How Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx, PredictIt, Manifold, and Metaculus compare on regulation, funding rails, liquidity, and fees — no hype, just trade-offs.

Read on the Wire

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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/331-chikadze-vs-brito-odds-2026-09-20?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=331-chikadze-vs-brito-odds-2026-09-20">World Event Trading</a></p>

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