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Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10? Prediction Market | W.E.T.

cryptoPolymarket · selected venue

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?

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$40.5K volume· Resolves Nov 10· Venue-attributed quote refreshes every 8s

Up11%Down89.5%

Venue observation · Observation time unavailable

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Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:17:48.659 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-10 17:00 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, …
Full text
specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Recognized settlement source: exchange:binance
Venue listing: Find on Polymarket US

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Evidence

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Community Read

— yes · 0 votes

WET InsightVenue-attributed

Market backs Down at 89% — a heavy favorite.

This read covers the selected venue quote. See the venue evidence for related contracts.
Moderate liquidity · resolving now.

WET Odds

Selected venue snapshot

11%

Down

89.5%

Polymarket (global)11%$40.5K$29.2K liquidity

This snapshot shows the selected venue contract. Related venue evidence is shown separately when available.

Live Trades

Polymarket tape · Up

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View venue listings

Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

View venue listings

Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

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Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:17:48.659 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-10 17:00 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, …
Full text
specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Recognized settlement source: exchange:binance
Venue listing: Find on Polymarket US

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