Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?

CryptoEvent window endedEnded · 21h ago

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?

Evidence & research ↓

The Market Read

Polymarket prices “Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?” at 12% — a longshot.

$38.6K in venue-reported volume. One venue-attributed observation; no cross-market aggregate.

Polymarket markets1Polymarket volume$38.6KEvent venuesPolymarket

Driving Coverage

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?

Polymarket·Observed 2026-11-10 14:00 UTC·$38.6K vol

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-10 17:00 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 14:00 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for polymarket:bitcoin-up-or-down-on-november-10-2026 since 2026-11-03

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, …
Full text
specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Recognized settlement source: exchange:binance
Venue listing: Find on Polymarket US

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