Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

As-of time not recorded · unknown

1. 2026Electionpresident · brazilevent identity
2. 2026-10-04 00:00 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this…

Full text

election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Recognized settlement source

not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)