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Selected contract: Fernando Haddad
Checking venue odds for this outcome…
All event outcomes →Bid/ask midpoint · WET received 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
Market backs No at 99.9% — all but decided.
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The Signal Sheet
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Native contract response received . This is WET’s document ingestion time.
Refused · no-key-match
no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent
Measured 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC: one listing key checked against 1581 keyed constituent refs
Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt
Refused · not-configured
The research engine has not been activated.
Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised
As-of time not recorded · unknown
Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row
As-of time not recorded · unknown
Kalshi · retrieved 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC · venue terms permit display · venue-settlement-rules/v1
Fernando Haddad · select venue
All event outcomes →Select a venue to see its price, chart, volume and activity below.
Polymarket quotes use its global feed. US links open Polymarket US, where availability and prices may differ.
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Kalshi · YES side
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Venue cutoff 2027-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · 210K contracts
If Fernando Haddad has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket · YES side
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Venue cutoff 2026-10-04T23:59:00.000Z · $7.7M
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.