Not listed · a composite of other index values

This reading is a weighted composite of other published W.E.T. indices — it holds no markets of its own, so it declares no universe for the current standard to hold to a subject. Its legs are each governed in their own right. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It is not waiting on a methodology. The standard governs an index’s claim over a market universe, and this one prices index values instead, so the migration that returns the other delisted indices cannot reach it as written. See the published suite →

WWRI

W.E.T. World Risk Index

v1Slate
22.300.10 (0.45%)Low & climbing, volatile

As of Sep 6, 2026 · last moved Sep 5, 2026 · scale 0–100 (CalmElevated)

A single headline blend of the desk’s world-risk legs — the prediction-market VIX for world events.

Key statistics

Previous
22.40
Band
Low
35d Range
1841
Percentile
66th
7d Change
+3.8
Volatility
4.5 pts/d
Streak
3d down
Markets
4
Effective N
3.5
Top Weight
40%
Venues
Method
v1

Daily close

35d published · interactive

35 published close(s) — 0–100 (Calm → Elevated). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 11 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.

History & 14-day projection

solid = 35d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% band
01020304050now22
Projected 14d
21.80
Change
0.50
80% band
047
Confidence
low

Model extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 35 readings, slope -0.07/day, projection σ 5.3 pts/d widened for a 35-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.

Desk read

W.E.T. analysis — Premium
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The desk's read on today's move

Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.

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What moved today

attribution — Premium
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Which markets moved the index, and by how much

Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.

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Legs by weight

all 4 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-06) · the basket below holds a different set
geopolitical-risk (40% leg)17% · 40.0%
recession-odds (25% leg)24% · 25.0%
commodity-stress (20% leg)24% · 20.0%
climate-risk (15% leg)30% · 15.0%

The view this index measures

Every W.E.T. index tracks a question someone can hold a view on. This one is mapped to these 3 questions in the Worldview thesis map. Answering one places you on its continuum; this index is what that answer is measurable against.

  • How does the world order hold?

    Cooperation holdsThe world fragments
  • Do the flashpoints stay contained?

    Contained and coolingA new front opens
  • Do the alliances hold the line?

    Blocs consolidateAlliances fray

WWRI · at a glance

What it is
The headline number — a prediction-market VIX for world events.
High vs low
Higher = an elevated global-risk regime priced across geopolitics, macro, and climate. Lower = calm.
Who cares
Anyone who wants one number for "how risky is the world right now," citable in a single sentence.

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Quote this index

free to cite with attribution + the as-of date
“As of Sep 6, 2026, the W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 22.3/100 (Low), per World Event Trading.”

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Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.