WDCW
W.E.T. Washington Week Index
v132.60— Low
As of Aug 1, 2026 · last moved Aug 1, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Quiet → Active)
How much the market is pricing on the near-term Washington calendar.
View the basket — the real markets + combined performance →Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Low
- 1d Range
- building
- Percentile
- —
- 7d Change
- —
- Volatility
- —
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 14
- Effective N
- 5.2
- Top Weight
- 25%
- Volume
- $4.4M
- Venues
- 14 P
- Method
- v1
- Basket
- 14/14
- Frozen
- 2026-08-01
History & 14-day projection
projection builds with historyProjection begins once 7 daily readings are in (1/7 so far).
Desk read
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The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
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What moved today
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Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
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Contribution by category
weight share of today's valuepolitics100% · 14
Constituents by weight
colored by category · every input auditable on its venueWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?60% · 25.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?15% · 25.0%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?10% · 20.2%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?39% · 14.1%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?16% · 5.4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?69% · 3.9%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?20% · 2.9%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?88% · 2.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?73% · 0.6%
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?18% · 0.4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?61% · 0.3%
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?10% · 0.1%
WDCW · at a glance
- What it is
- The near-term Washington calendar — what the market thinks lands this month.
- High vs low
- Higher = the near-term Washington calendar is pricing action. Lower = quiet.
- Who cares
- Policy desks and political reporters pricing the immediate legislative and executive calendar.
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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Aug 1, 2026, the W.E.T. Washington Week Index (WDCW) prints a WET Index Score of 32.6/100 (Low), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.