Readings may not describe today57 scheduled closes did not landWhy →Hide
57 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-14 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-13. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.
Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes
Retired for vagueness · no longer on the board
This index was published under the desk’s current standard and withdrawn from the board by amendment v1.3 §10, which holds a universe to the bar the thesis has always been held to: a universe that declares only a category makes no claim any market could falsify. Its methodology, its inverse twin and its failure ladder were all compiled — the declaration of what it was about is what did not hold up. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It returns to the board the day a committed spec declares a universe that names its subject — the bar it was refused by (`universe-names-no-subject`). Compiling a methodology is not the missing piece and never was. See the published suite →
W.E.T. Sports Championship Heat Index
v3SlateDailyAs of Sep 13, 2026 · last moved Sep 13, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Clear favorites → Toss-ups)
How wide-open the championship races are across major sports.
Retired — read instead: the published W.E.T. index suite. no successor is published, and this one was the most expensive reading on the desk: it declared the `sports` category alone and admitted 10,736 market references on the nightly plan — 41% of the entire quote ceiling and 3.8x the next largest index — to publish "insufficient data" over 2 constituents, 1 of them priced. Sports is opportunistic coverage for this desk (CLAUDE.md coverage pyramid), and a sports reading that earns a place back has to name the competition it is about rather than the category. This page and its full history remain published for continuity.
No level published — this book's daily returns cannot be attributed to its own holdings. On 1 day the per-market contributions do not sum to the day's return; the widest break is 2026-08-02, off by 7.12e-3. Cash earns nothing here and there are no flows, so that sum is an identity, not an approximation — a gap means the replay and the attribution disagree about what this basket held. The level is withheld until they agree.
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- Basket total return
- —
- Since inception
- —
- Cost to cross
- —
- Holdings marked
- 0.0% of 32
- 1 day
- —
- 7 day
- —
- Markets held
- 32
- Settled
- 49
- Rebalanced out
- 0
- Hit rate
- —
- Cash
- —
- Inception
- 2026-08-01
- Weighting
- Equal notional
- Marks
- Two-sided mid
- Days tracked
- 0
Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.
Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.
A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.
Holdings · 32 markets
held since 2026-08-01 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs- UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)polymarket · YES · entry 37c70 sessions stalepolymarketYES37c37c0.0%3.6%Polymarket ↗
- UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)polymarket · YES · entry 24c70 sessions stalepolymarketYES24c24c0.0%3.6%Polymarket ↗
- Boston vs Los Angeles D Total Runs?kalshi · YES · entry 46c70 sessions stalekalshiYES46c46c0.0%3.6%Kalshi ↗
- UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)polymarket · YES · entry 70c70 sessions stalepolymarketYES70c70c0.0%3.6%Polymarket ↗
- New York Y vs Chicago C Winner?kalshi · YES · entry 54c70 sessions stalekalshiYES54c54c0.0%3.6%Kalshi ↗
- New York Y vs Chicago C Total Runs?kalshi · YES · entry 50c70 sessions stalekalshiYES50c50c0.0%3.6%Kalshi ↗
- St. Louis vs Toronto Total Runs?kalshi · YES · entry 49c70 sessions stalekalshiYES49c49c0.0%3.6%Kalshi ↗
- St. Louis wins by over 1.5 runs?kalshi · YES · entry 33c70 sessions stalekalshiYES33c33c0.0%3.6%Kalshi ↗
- Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?kalshi · YES · entry 44c70 sessions stalekalshiYES44c44c0.0%3.6%Kalshi ↗
- Minnesota vs Seattle Total Runs?kalshi · YES · entry 82c70 sessions stalekalshiYES82c82c0.0%3.6%Kalshi ↗
- Miami vs New York M Winner?kalshi · YES · entry 46c70 sessions stalekalshiYES46c46c0.0%3.1%Kalshi ↗
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the Tararudee vs Anisimova: Round Of 64 match? — Amanda Anisimovakalshi · YES · entry 50c42 sessions stalekalshiYES50c50c0.0%1.6%Kalshi ↗
- New York wins the game by over 1.5 points?kalshi · YES · entry 55c70 sessions stalekalshiYES55c55c0.0%1.1%Kalshi ↗
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerpolymarket · YES · entry 31c70 sessions stalepolymarketYES31c31c0.0%0.4%Polymarket ↗
- Cincinnatigemini · YES · entry 51c70 sessions stalegeminiYES51c51c0.0%0.4%Gemini Predictions ↗
- More than 9.5 runs scoredgemini · YES · entry 67c70 sessions stalegeminiYES67c67c0.0%0.3%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Philadelphiagemini · YES · entry 56c70 sessions stalegeminiYES56c56c0.0%0.3%Gemini Predictions ↗
- O/U 2.5 Roundspolymarket · YES · entry 64c70 sessions stalepolymarketYES64c64c0.0%0.2%Polymarket ↗
- Las Vegas vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Over 169.5 points?kalshi · YES · entry 81c70 sessions stalekalshiYES81c81c0.0%0.2%Kalshi ↗
- Navajo Stirlinggemini · YES · entry 76c70 sessions stalegeminiYES76c76c0.0%0.1%Gemini Predictions ↗
- More than 2.5 runs scoredgemini · YES · entry 97c70 sessions stalegeminiYES97c97c0.0%0.1%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Mateusz Rebeckigemini · YES · entry 86c70 sessions stalegeminiYES86c86c0.0%0.1%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Uros Medicgemini · YES · entry 77c70 sessions stalegeminiYES77c77c0.0%0.1%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Nina Milosevicgemini · YES · entry 82c70 sessions stalegeminiYES82c82c0.0%0.1%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Michael Oliveiragemini · YES · entry 77c70 sessions stalegeminiYES77c77c0.0%0.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Robert Valentingemini · YES · entry 60c70 sessions stalegeminiYES60c60c0.0%0.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Aleksandar Rakicgemini · YES · entry 78c70 sessions stalegeminiYES78c78c0.0%0.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Ludovit Kleingemini · YES · entry 70c70 sessions stalegeminiYES70c70c0.0%0.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Bogdan Gradgemini · YES · entry 66c70 sessions stalegeminiYES66c66c0.0%0.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- New York vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Over 162.5 points?kalshi · YES · entry 82c70 sessions stalekalshiYES82c82c0.0%0.0%Kalshi ↗
- Noah Gugnongemini · YES · entry 52c70 sessions stalegeminiYES52c52c0.0%0.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr 2+ Hitsgemini · YES · entry 31c70 sessions stalegeminiYES31c31c0.0%0.0%Gemini Predictions ↗
Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →
Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Elevated
- 28d Range
- 3182
- Percentile
- 57th
- 7d Change
- −1.8
- Volatility
- 12.7 pts/d
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 7
- Effective N
- 6.3
- Top Weight
- 20%
- Venues
- 7 K
- Method
- v3
- Basket
- 7/36
- Frozen
- 2026-09-01
- Chain
- ×0.9038
Daily close
28d published · interactive28 published close(s) — 0–100 (Clear favorites → Toss-ups). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 25 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 28d published · dashed = projected · no band publishedModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 28 readings, slope +0.00/day, projection σ 15.2 pts/d widened for a 28-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — PremiumPremium
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — PremiumPremium
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
all 7 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-13) · the basket below holds a different setWhere these markets are covered
7 of 7 constituents have a W.E.T. pageThe odds pages covering the individual contracts this index reads. They are the evidence underneath the reading, not readings themselves.
- Dallas vs New York G: Prediction, Odds & Probability
- Buffalo vs Houston: Prediction, Odds & Probability
- Atlanta vs Pittsburgh: Prediction, Odds & Probability
- Chicago vs Carolina: Prediction, Odds & Probability
- New Orleans vs Detroit: Prediction, Odds & Probability
- Green Bay vs Minnesota: Prediction, Odds & Probability
- Arizona vs Los Angeles C: Prediction, Odds & Probability
The view this index measures
Every W.E.T. index tracks a question someone can hold a view on. This one is mapped to this question in the Worldview thesis map. Answering one places you on its continuum; this index is what that answer is measurable against.
Over the next year, will the favorites win the major championships?
The favorites mostly winMore underdogs break through
Where do you stand? The Worldview builder asks from this same set of questions and matches your answers to the W.E.T. indexes that measure them.
Turn your perspective into a portfolio →WSHI · at a glance
- What it is
- The toss-up gauge for championship races.
- High vs low
- Higher = more wide-open title races (toss-ups). Lower = clear favorites.
- Who cares
- Sports desks gauging how wide-open the title races are (a secondary desk read — sports never leads).
Embed this score
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[](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/sports-heat)<a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/sports-heat"><img src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/indices/sports-heat/badge" alt="WSHI — WET Index Score" /></a><iframe src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/embed/indices/sports-heat" width="340" height="170" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="WSHI — WET Index Score" loading="lazy"></iframe>Quote this index
free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Sep 13, 2026, the W.E.T. Sports Championship Heat Index (WSHI) prints a WET Index Score of 65.9/100 (Elevated), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.