The Index Desk Report
LATESTSunday, November 15, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
21.7Low
91 / 148 live24 elevated41 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 21.7 (Low), down 0.7.
Fell 1.1 to 21.7 (Low), led by commodity-stress (20% leg) (19→16%) −0.5 repricing; geopolitical-risk (40% leg) (24→23%) −0.2 repricing.
The board: 91 of 148 benchmarks live — 24 elevated (≥60), 41 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Dec 2026) prices +25.9bps expected change (3% hold); cumulative +50.9bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Nov 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.72% (80% band 3.54–3.88%, n=21 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
What moved
- WCINC 28.2 (▼20.3) — Cincinnati Football, inside six months, down 20.3 on the day.
- WCIN2 71.8 (▲20.3) — Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months, up 20.3 on the day.
- WREP2 30.8 (▼16.9) — Republican — Elections, inside two years, down 16.9 on the day.
- WPITT 36.7 (▼13.0) — Pittsburgh Football, inside six months, down 13.0 on the day.
- WPIT2 63.3 (▲13.0) — Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months, up 13.0 on the day.
Projection watch
- WPITT projected 40.5 in 14d (80% band 0–99), trending up.
- WPIT2 projected 59.5 in 14d (80% band 1–100), trending down.
- WSANF projected 64.4 in 14d (80% band 29–100), trending up.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 23.0 | -0.5 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 11.6 | — | 2026-11-15 | Very low & climbing |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 46.8 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.9 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 23.8 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 13.1 | -0.8 | 2026-11-15 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 22.0 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 44.7 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 32.4 | +0.9 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 16.1 | -2.4 | 2026-11-15 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 17.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 63.7 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Elevated & cooling |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 4.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 26.7 | -0.9 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 34.4 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 35.7 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 77.4 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Elevated & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 59.0 | — | 2026-11-15 | Moderate & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 26.0 | 0.0 | 2026-11-15 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 25.2 | -1.0 | 2026-11-15 | Low & climbing |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 32.6 | -0.1 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 53.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 91.2 | +0.2 | 2026-11-15 | Very high & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 21.7 | -0.7 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 18.1 | — | 2026-11-15 | Very low & steady |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 34.4 | +0.3 | 2026-11-15 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 43.8 | +5.4 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 56.4 | -0.3 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARIZ | Arizona Football, inside six months | 53.9 | -1.3 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI2 | Inverse Arizona Football, inside six months | 46.1 | +1.3 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 30.3 | -6.4 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 7.4 | -0.2 | 2026-11-14 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 92.6 | +0.2 | 2026-11-14 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 59.0 | +2.4 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 49.7 | -5.9 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 50.3 | +5.9 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 28.2 | -20.3 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 71.8 | +20.3 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WDALL | Dallas Football, inside six months | 21.6 | +0.4 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDAL2 | Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months | 78.4 | -0.5 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 39.9 | +1.1 | 2026-11-14 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 41.2 | -1.5 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 74.7 | +10.5 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WGOO2 | Google — Tech Science, inside two months | 47.7 | -7.3 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 36.1 | — | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 63.9 | — | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 28.9 | -10.7 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 71.1 | +10.7 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 21.1 | — | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHOU2 | Houston Football, inside six months | 27.8 | +1.7 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHOU3 | Inverse Houston Football, inside six months | 72.2 | -1.7 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 37.7 | -3.6 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 62.3 | +3.6 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 43.3 | +0.9 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 56.7 | -0.9 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 75.8 | +3.9 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 53.0 | +6.0 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 39.4 | -0.2 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 60.6 | +0.2 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 37.1 | — | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 62.9 | — | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 17.5 | +1.5 | 2026-11-14 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 82.5 | -1.5 | 2026-11-14 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WMATH | Math — Tech Science, inside two months | 36.6 | -5.9 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 69.1 | +0.2 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 40.9 | -3.1 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 49.8 | +2.7 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMIAM | Miami Football, inside six months | 18.6 | — | 2026-11-14 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WMIA2 | Inverse Miami Football, inside six months | 81.4 | — | 2026-11-14 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 38.6 | — | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 61.4 | — | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 48.0 | +3.3 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 36.7 | -13.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 63.3 | +13.0 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 48.6 | -1.9 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 51.4 | +1.9 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 35.7 | -6.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 41.6 | -1.2 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 30.8 | -16.9 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 60.4 | -1.3 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 60.8 | +3.4 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 39.2 | -3.4 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA3 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 30.8 | +3.5 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA4 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 69.2 | -3.5 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 36.6 | -0.9 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 42.6 | +1.6 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 57.4 | -1.6 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WYORK | York — Sports, inside six months | 55.8 | +4.7 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.