The Index Desk Report
LATESTSaturday, November 14, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
22.4Low
82 / 148 live17 elevated30 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 22.4 (Low), down 0.3.
Fell 0.9 to 22.4 (Low), led by commodity-stress (20% leg) (21→19%) −0.5 repricing; geopolitical-risk (40% leg) +0.2 repricing.
The board: 82 of 148 benchmarks live — 17 elevated (≥60), 30 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Dec 2026) prices +25.9bps expected change (3% hold); cumulative +50.9bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Nov 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.73% (80% band 3.56–3.88%, n=21 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
What moved
- WCOS 18.5 (▼2.4) — Fell 2.7 to 18.5 (Very low), led by US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31… (27→22%) −1.3 repricing; Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December… (9→8%) −0.1 repricing; US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? (24→22%) −0.1 repricing.
- WEGF 63.7 (▼1.0) — Fell 1.0 to 63.7 (Elevated), led by Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at… (94→89%) −0.6 repricing, +0.2 reweight; Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by… (11→9%) −0.3 repricing; Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? (98→99%) +0.1 repricing.
- WAWD 32.7 (▲0.9) — Rose 0.9 to 32.7 (Low), led by Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic open… (74→71%) +1.2 repricing, +0.1 reweight; Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best do… (74→70%) +0.2 repricing; Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening… (80→87%) −0.3 repricing.
- WMSI 17.2 (▼0.9) — Fell 0.9 to 17.2 (Very low), led by commodity-stress (35% leg) (21→19%) −0.8 repricing.
- WGRI 23.5 (▲0.4) — Fell 1.2 to 23.5 (Low), led by Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? (8→9%) +0.3 repricing; Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? (78→84%) +0.1 repricing.
Projection watch
- WPITT projected 53.6 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending up.
- WPIT2 projected 46.4 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WSANF projected 61.1 in 14d (80% band 25–97), trending up.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 23.5 | +0.4 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 4.9 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Very low & climbing |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 46.8 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.9 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 23.8 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 13.9 | — | 2026-11-14 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 22.0 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 44.7 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 31.5 | +0.1 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 18.5 | -2.4 | 2026-11-14 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 17.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 63.7 | -1.0 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 4.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 27.6 | -0.1 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 34.4 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 35.7 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 77.4 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Elevated & steady |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 62.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 26.0 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 26.2 | 0.0 | 2026-11-14 | Low & climbing |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 32.7 | +0.9 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 53.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 91.0 | +0.2 | 2026-11-14 | Very high & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 22.4 | -0.3 | 2026-11-14 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 17.2 | -0.9 | 2026-11-14 | Very low & climbing |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 34.1 | +0.2 | 2026-11-14 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 38.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 56.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARIZ | Arizona Football, inside six months | 55.1 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI2 | Inverse Arizona Football, inside six months | 44.9 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 36.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 7.6 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 92.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 56.6 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 55.6 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 44.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 48.5 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 51.5 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WDALL | Dallas Football, inside six months | 21.2 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDAL2 | Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months | 78.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 38.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 42.6 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 64.3 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WGOO2 | Google — Tech Science, inside two months | 55.1 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 39.6 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 60.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WHOU2 | Houston Football, inside six months | 26.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHOU3 | Inverse Houston Football, inside six months | 74.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 41.3 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 58.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 42.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 57.6 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 71.9 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 47.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 39.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 60.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 16.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 84.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WMATH | Math — Tech Science, inside two months | 42.5 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 68.9 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 44.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 47.1 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 44.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 49.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 50.3 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 50.5 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 49.5 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 41.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 42.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 47.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 61.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 57.3 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 42.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA3 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 27.3 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA4 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 72.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 37.5 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 41.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 59.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WYORK | York — Sports, inside six months | 51.1 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.