The Index Desk Report
Friday, November 13, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 22.7 (Low), with no daily change published.
Fell 0.9 to 22.7 (Low), led by geopolitical-risk (40% leg) −0.1 repricing; commodity-stress (20% leg) −0.1 repricing.
The board: 114 of 148 benchmarks live — 37 elevated (≥60), 50 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Dec 2026) prices +26.1bps expected change (3% hold); cumulative +51.1bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Nov 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.73% (80% band 3.56–3.89%, n=21 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
Projection watch
- WPITT projected 61.9 in 14d (80% band 4–100), trending up.
- WPIT2 projected 38.1 in 14d (80% band 0–96), trending down.
- WSANF projected 65.0 in 14d (80% band 29–100), trending up.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 23.1 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 4.9 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very low & climbing |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 46.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.9 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 23.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 29.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 22.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 44.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 31.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 20.9 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 17.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 64.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 2.2 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 4.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 27.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 34.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 35.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 77.4 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & cooling |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 62.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Elevated & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 26.0 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 26.2 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 31.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 53.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 90.8 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very high & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 22.7 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 18.1 | — | 2026-11-13 | Very low & climbing |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 33.9 | — | 2026-11-13 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 39.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 62.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 39.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WARIZ | Arizona Football, inside six months | 54.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI2 | Inverse Arizona Football, inside six months | 45.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 46.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WATLA | Atlanta Football, inside six months | 17.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low |
| WATL2 | Inverse Atlanta Football, inside six months | 82.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 7.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 92.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 55.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 50.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 49.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 50.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 49.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 47.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 52.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCLEV | Cleveland Football, inside six months | 22.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCLE2 | Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six months | 77.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WDALL | Dallas Football, inside six months | 22.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDAL2 | Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months | 77.6 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 40.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 39.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 61.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 28.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & climbing |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 71.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & cooling |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 57.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 45.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 44.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOO2 | Google — Tech Science, inside two months | 55.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 15.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 84.3 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 40.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 59.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 35.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHOU2 | Houston Football, inside six months | 24.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHOU3 | Inverse Houston Football, inside six months | 75.3 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 29.3 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 70.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 35.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 64.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINDI | Indianapolis Football, inside six months | 4.6 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low |
| WIND2 | Inverse Indianapolis Football, inside six months | 95.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 75.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 60.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 39.3 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 60.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 34.6 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 65.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WLASV | Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 21.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WLAS2 | Inverse Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 78.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 21.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 79.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing |
| WMATH | Math — Tech Science, inside two months | 40.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 66.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 65.6 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 52.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMIAM | Miami Football, inside six months | 8.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WMIA2 | Inverse Miami Football, inside six months | 91.3 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high & steady, volatile |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 33.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 66.6 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WNEWY | New York Football, inside six months | 26.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WNEW4 | Inverse New York Football, inside six months | 73.6 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 36.7 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & climbing |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 4.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 96.0 | — | 2026-11-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 57.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 42.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 64.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAC2 | Race — Elections, inside two years | 34.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 56.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 43.1 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 57.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 64.9 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 25.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 69.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 61.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 38.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA3 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 24.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA4 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 75.5 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSENA | Senate — Elections, inside six months | 21.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 36.6 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & climbing |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 35.2 | — | 2026-11-05 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 64.8 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WYORK | York — Sports, inside six months | 69.4 | — | 2026-11-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.