The Index Desk Report
LATESTWednesday, September 30, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
22.9Low
77 / 148 live23 elevated29 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 22.9 (Low), with no daily change published.
Fell 0.6 to 22.9 (Low), led by geopolitical-risk (40% leg) (26→25%) −0.5 repricing; commodity-stress (20% leg) (15→15%) +0.2 repricing; climate-risk (15% leg) (28→28%) +0.1 repricing.
The board: 77 of 148 benchmarks live — 23 elevated (≥60), 29 calm (<40).
What moved
- WINC3 58.0 (▲15.9) — Increase — Economics, inside two months, up 15.9 on the day.
- WINC4 42.0 (▼15.9) — Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months, down 15.9 on the day.
- WSENA 78.8 (▲14.5) — Senate — Elections, inside six months, up 14.5 on the day.
- WREP2 64.9 (▲14.3) — Republican — Elections, inside two years, up 14.3 on the day.
- WFEDE 42.9 (▲13.0) — Federal — Economics, inside six months, up 13.0 on the day.
Projection watch
- WSEA2 projected 30.6 in 14d (80% band 0–67), trending down.
- WINT2 projected 80.5 in 14d (80% band 59–100), trending up.
- WRAT4 projected 85.9 in 14d (80% band 43–100), trending up.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 24.9 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 3.4 | — | 2026-09-30 | Very low & climbing |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 45.1 | — | 2026-09-30 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 51.0 | — | 2026-09-30 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 22.6 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & cooling |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 37.8 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 28.2 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 43.1 | — | 2026-09-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 22.7 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 15.3 | — | 2026-09-30 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 65.9 | — | 2026-09-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 59.3 | — | 2026-09-30 | Moderate & cooling |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 41.3 | — | 2026-09-30 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 29.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 32.4 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & steady |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 18.3 | — | 2026-09-30 | Very low & steady |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.4 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & steady |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 69.7 | — | 2026-09-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 70.1 | — | 2026-09-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 23.5 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 28.1 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 39.8 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.1 | — | 2026-09-07 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 60.0 | — | 2026-09-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 97.0 | — | 2026-09-08 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 61.8 | — | 2026-09-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WWRI | World Risk | 22.9 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 15.2 | — | 2026-09-30 | Very low & steady |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 30.0 | — | 2026-09-30 | Low & steady |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 25.7 | +2.6 | 2026-09-29 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 74.3 | -2.6 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 64.5 | -3.7 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 37.2 | -2.2 | 2026-09-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 51.3 | -8.9 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 79.6 | +3.0 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 38.3 | +0.2 | 2026-09-29 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 46.0 | -2.9 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 36.0 | 0.0 | 2026-09-29 | Low & cooling |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 43.3 | +2.6 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 58.8 | +0.6 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 58.5 | -5.6 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 42.9 | +13.0 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 55.6 | +2.1 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WGOO2 | Google — Tech Science, inside two months | 65.5 | +2.0 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 38.8 | +9.3 | 2026-09-29 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 61.2 | -9.3 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 37.5 | +3.7 | 2026-09-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 62.5 | -3.7 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 59.0 | +8.6 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 45.0 | +10.7 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 55.0 | -10.7 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 58.0 | +15.9 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 42.0 | -15.9 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 62.2 | -3.8 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 75.5 | -1.1 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 56.8 | -1.3 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 79.7 | -1.6 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 45.4 | -3.2 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 52.6 | -4.6 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 34.5 | -2.2 | 2026-09-29 | Low & cooling |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 48.3 | -0.2 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing |
| WPART | Party — Elections, inside six months | 60.6 | +5.1 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 31.3 | -1.1 | 2026-09-29 | Low & cooling |
| WRAC2 | Race — Elections, inside two years | 62.5 | +9.6 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 55.5 | -6.6 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 44.5 | +6.6 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 70.3 | -9.9 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 81.4 | +0.6 | 2026-09-29 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 52.6 | +9.9 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 64.9 | +14.3 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 60.8 | +11.6 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 38.1 | +8.1 | 2026-09-29 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 61.9 | -8.1 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA2 | Seats — Elections, inside two weeks | 37.2 | -1.0 | 2026-09-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSENA | Senate — Elections, inside six months | 78.8 | +14.5 | 2026-09-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 49.8 | -11.4 | 2026-09-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 26.9 | +0.9 | 2026-09-29 | Low & steady |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.