The Index Desk Report
LATESTWednesday, September 23, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
23.9Low
119 / 145 live46 elevated49 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 23.9 (Low), down 0.2.
Rose 2.1 to 23.9 (Low), led by recession-odds (25% leg) (24→22%) −0.4 repricing; commodity-stress (20% leg) (16→17%) +0.3 repricing; climate-risk (15% leg) (31→30%) −0.1 repricing.
The board: 119 of 145 benchmarks live — 46 elevated (≥60), 49 calm (<40).
What moved
- WREP2 77.0 (▲18.9) — Republican — Elections, inside two years, up 18.9 on the day.
- WCODE 63.1 (▲15.1) — Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months, up 15.1 on the day.
- WRAT3 84.1 (▲9.3) — Rate — Economics, inside two months, up 9.3 on the day.
- WARTI 53.9 (▼6.3) — Artist — Culture, inside six months, down 6.3 on the day.
- WFEDE 59.2 (▲5.2) — Federal — Economics, inside six months, up 5.2 on the day.
Projection watch
- WREP2 projected 82.7 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending up.
- WINT2 projected 82.8 in 14d (80% band 64–100), trending up.
- WINCR projected 40.3 in 14d (80% band 18–62), trending up.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 25.8 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Very low & cooling |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 42.1 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 51.4 | -1.5 | 2026-09-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 22.2 | -1.5 | 2026-09-23 | Low & steady |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 39.5 | +0.7 | 2026-09-23 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 30.3 | -0.6 | 2026-09-23 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 43.1 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 24.0 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 17.4 | +1.4 | 2026-09-23 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 65.9 | — | 2026-09-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 61.8 | -0.4 | 2026-09-23 | Elevated & steady |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 47.2 | — | 2026-09-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 29.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 33.3 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Low & climbing |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 19.8 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Very low & cooling |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.4 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Low & steady |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 71.4 | +1.8 | 2026-09-23 | Elevated & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 72.4 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 23.5 | +0.4 | 2026-09-23 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 27.8 | -0.6 | 2026-09-23 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 41.8 | +0.4 | 2026-09-23 | Moderate & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.1 | — | 2026-09-07 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 60.0 | — | 2026-09-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 97.0 | — | 2026-09-08 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 64.1 | -0.4 | 2026-09-23 | Elevated & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 23.9 | -0.2 | 2026-09-23 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 15.6 | -0.1 | 2026-09-23 | Very low & cooling |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 29.9 | 0.0 | 2026-09-23 | Low & steady |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 21.3 | -1.2 | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 78.7 | +1.2 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 61.1 | -0.4 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 52.5 | — | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 44.5 | -4.3 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 53.9 | -6.3 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 30.7 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 69.3 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 85.5 | -0.4 | 2026-09-22 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 38.1 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 61.9 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 41.2 | +1.7 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 19.9 | — | 2026-09-22 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 80.1 | — | 2026-09-22 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 33.5 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 66.5 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WCLEV | Cleveland Football, inside six months | 23.2 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCLE2 | Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six months | 76.8 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 63.1 | +15.1 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 42.5 | +1.2 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing |
| WDALL | Dallas Football, inside six months | 26.5 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDAL2 | Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months | 73.5 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 37.5 | +1.5 | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 24.2 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 75.8 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 53.1 | -2.3 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 59.2 | +5.2 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 54.7 | -0.5 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 25.1 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 74.9 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 24.6 | -2.9 | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 75.4 | +2.9 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 43.7 | -2.2 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 56.3 | +2.2 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 60.5 | +4.9 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 35.7 | -1.4 | 2026-09-22 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 64.3 | +1.4 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 26.4 | -0.6 | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 73.6 | +0.6 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINDI | Indianapolis Football, inside six months | 24.0 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low |
| WIND2 | Inverse Indianapolis Football, inside six months | 76.0 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 67.8 | +0.7 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 77.8 | -3.6 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 29.0 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 71.0 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 34.8 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 65.2 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WLASV | Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 24.6 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WLAS2 | Inverse Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 75.4 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 23.4 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 76.6 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 69.9 | +1.2 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 83.6 | +3.2 | 2026-09-22 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 56.8 | +1.4 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMIAM | Miami Football, inside six months | 25.8 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMIA2 | Inverse Miami Football, inside six months | 74.2 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 54.4 | — | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMINN | Minnesota Football, inside six months | 29.4 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMIN2 | Inverse Minnesota Football, inside six months | 70.6 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 22.4 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 77.6 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WNEWY | New York Football, inside six months | 26.2 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNEW4 | Inverse New York Football, inside six months | 73.8 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 38.4 | +2.6 | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 45.5 | +1.0 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 30.3 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 69.7 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 20.3 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 79.7 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 33.0 | -0.8 | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 40.0 | -2.8 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 60.0 | +2.8 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 84.1 | +9.3 | 2026-09-22 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 85.9 | 0.0 | 2026-09-22 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 47.9 | +2.2 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 77.0 | +18.9 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 66.0 | +0.4 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 34.9 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 65.1 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 20.8 | -1.3 | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 79.2 | +1.3 | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSEA3 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 32.1 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA4 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 67.9 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 45.3 | +4.8 | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WTENN | Tennessee Football, inside six months | 27.7 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing |
| WTEN2 | Inverse Tennessee Football, inside six months | 72.3 | — | 2026-09-22 | Elevated & cooling |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 28.0 | 0.0 | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 44.2 | — | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 55.8 | — | 2026-09-22 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WYORK | York — Sports, inside six months | 35.1 | — | 2026-09-22 | Low & climbing, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.