The Index Desk Report

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Thursday, September 10, 2026

The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.

Headline · WWRI

W.E.T. World Risk Index

21.4Low
115 / 139 live44 elevated45 calm

W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 21.4 (Low), down 0.1.

Fell 1.1 to 21.4 (Low), led by climate-risk (15% leg) (28→27%) −0.1 repricing.

The board: 115 of 139 benchmarks live — 44 elevated (≥60), 45 calm (<40).

What moved

  • WFEDE 66.6 (▲17.3) — Federal — Economics, inside six months, up 17.3 on the day.
  • WREP2 66.4 (▲15.3) — Republican — Elections, inside two years, up 15.3 on the day.
  • WRATE 54.8 (▲11.7) — Rate — Economics, inside six months, up 11.7 on the day.
  • WRAT2 45.2 (▼11.7) — Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months, down 11.7 on the day.
  • WCODE 43.5 (▼8.0) — Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months, down 8.0 on the day.

Projection watch

  • WINC3 projected 11.6 in 14d (80% band 0–61), trending down.
  • WINC4 projected 88.4 in 14d (80% band 39–100), trending up.
  • WRELE projected 34.9 in 14d (80% band 3–67), trending down.

The full board

Ticker Index Score 1d As of Regime
WGRI Geopolitical Risk 17.9 0.0 2026-09-10 Very low & steady, volatile
WFPI Fed Path 6.1 2026-09-10 Very low & steady
WEHI Election Heat 47.0 +1.2 2026-09-10 Moderate & steady, volatile
WARI AI Race 51.0 -0.3 2026-09-10 Moderate & steady, volatile
WRCI Recession Odds 22.9 0.0 2026-09-10 Low & cooling
WCGF Crypto Greed 39.3 -1.6 2026-09-10 Low & cooling, volatile
WCDR Climate Risk 27.4 -0.5 2026-09-10 Low & cooling, volatile
WCHI Culture Heat 43.7 0.0 2026-09-10 Moderate & steady, volatile
WPTI Political Turmoil 27.7 0.0 2026-09-10 Low & steady, volatile
WCOS Commodity Stress 22.2 0.0 2026-09-10 Low & cooling, volatile
WSHI Sports Heat 68.6 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WEGF Equity Greed 60.9 0.0 2026-09-10 Elevated & steady
WMID Midterm Control 34.5 2026-09-10 Low & cooling, volatile
WELW Election Week 29.7 2026-08-25 Low & cooling, volatile
WFLA Flashpoint Watch 29.9 -0.5 2026-09-10 Low & cooling
WDCW Washington Week 27.6 +0.4 2026-09-10 Low & steady
WGEA Global Easing 26.9 0.0 2026-09-10 Low & steady
WINF Inflation Watch 55.7 -0.6 2026-09-10 Moderate & steady
WEBI Earnings Beat 73.2 2026-09-09 Elevated & steady
WBTP Bitcoin Path 19.6 +0.6 2026-09-10 Very low & climbing
WALT Altcoin Heat 27.9 -0.5 2026-09-10 Low & steady
WAWD Awards Race 43.4 +0.8 2026-09-10 Moderate & cooling
WSTW Storm Watch 27.1 2026-09-07 Low & cooling, volatile
WFAV Favorites Combo 60.1 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WSOC Soccer Heat 97.0 2026-09-08 Very high & climbing, volatile
WNFL Gridiron Futures 61.9 0.0 2026-09-10 Elevated & steady
WWRI World Risk 21.4 -0.1 2026-09-10 Low & cooling, volatile
WMSI Macro Stress 18.5 2026-09-10 Very low & cooling
WUPR US Political Risk 31.0 +0.3 2026-09-10 Low & steady
WACHI Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months 22.6 -6.5 2026-09-09 Low & cooling, volatile
WACH2 Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months 77.4 +6.5 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WALBU Album — Culture, inside six months 67.2 -3.0 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WANGE Angeles — Sports, inside six months 74.1 +0.7 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WANTH Anthropic — Financials, inside six months 44.8 +2.6 2026-09-09 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WARIZ Arizona Football, inside six months 14.2 2026-09-09 Very low & cooling, volatile
WARI2 Inverse Arizona Football, inside six months 85.8 2026-09-09 Very high & climbing, volatile
WARTI Artist — Culture, inside six months 62.0 +3.3 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WBALT Baltimore Football, inside six months 32.4 +0.3 2026-09-09 Low & steady, volatile
WBAL2 Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months 67.6 -0.3 2026-09-09 Elevated & steady, volatile
WBANK Bank — Economics, inside six months 80.0 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WBUFF Buffalo Football, inside six months 40.8 -2.5 2026-09-09 Moderate & steady, volatile
WBUF2 Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months 59.2 +2.5 2026-09-09 Moderate & steady, volatile
WCAPT Capture — Politics, inside six months 54.8 +6.6 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WCHIC Chicago Football, inside six months 27.9 +2.8 2026-09-09 Low & climbing, volatile
WCHI2 Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months 72.1 -2.8 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WCINC Cincinnati Football, inside six months 31.4 +0.5 2026-09-09 Low & climbing
WCIN2 Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months 68.6 -0.5 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling
WCODE Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months 43.5 -8.0 2026-09-09 Moderate & steady, volatile
WCOUN Country — Politics, inside six months 31.5 +0.1 2026-09-09 Low & cooling
WDALL Dallas Football, inside six months 31.8 -0.3 2026-09-09 Low & climbing, volatile
WDAL2 Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months 68.2 +0.3 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WDEMO Democratic — Elections, inside two years 41.5 +0.8 2026-09-09 Moderate
WELEC Election — Politics, inside six months 46.5 +0.5 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WELE2 Election — Politics, inside two months 67.8 +2.4 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WFEDE Federal — Economics, inside six months 66.6 +17.3 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WGOOG Google — Tech Science, inside six months 60.0 -1.0 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WGREE Green Bay Football, inside six months 27.8 -1.7 2026-09-09 Low & climbing
WGRE2 Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months 72.2 +1.7 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling
WHIGH Higher — Tech Science, inside six months 35.7 -5.1 2026-09-09 Low & cooling, volatile
WHIG2 Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months 64.3 +5.1 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WHIKE Hike — Economics, inside six months 48.8 +5.5 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WHIK2 Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months 51.2 -5.5 2026-09-09 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WHOUS House — Elections, inside two years 60.0 +1.7 2026-09-09 Moderate
WHOU2 Houston Football, inside six months 26.0 2026-09-09 Low & climbing, volatile
WHOU3 Inverse Houston Football, inside six months 74.0 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WINCR Increase — Economics, inside six months 36.3 +3.7 2026-09-09 Low & climbing, volatile
WINC2 Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months 63.7 -3.7 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WINC3 Increase — Economics, inside two months 18.3 -1.0 2026-09-09 Very low & cooling, volatile
WINC4 Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months 81.7 +1.0 2026-09-09 Very high & climbing, volatile
WINTE Interest — Economics, inside six months 69.6 -0.4 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing
WINT2 Interest — Economics, inside two months 61.0 -0.3 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing
WKANS Kansas City Football, inside six months 37.6 -3.1 2026-09-09 Low & climbing, volatile
WKAN2 Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months 62.4 +3.1 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WLOSA Los Angeles Football, inside six months 35.9 +0.8 2026-09-09 Low & climbing
WLOS2 Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months 64.1 -0.8 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling
WMEET Meeting — Economics, inside six months 83.7 +3.9 2026-09-09 Very high & climbing, volatile
WMEE2 Meeting — Economics, inside two months 61.5 +1.1 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WMEE3 Meeting — Economics, inside two years 53.7 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WMIAM Miami Football, inside six months 24.5 2026-09-09 Low & cooling, volatile
WMIA2 Inverse Miami Football, inside six months 75.5 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WNEWE New England Football, inside six months 33.9 +0.5 2026-09-09 Low & steady, volatile
WNEW2 Inverse New England Football, inside six months 66.1 -0.5 2026-09-09 Elevated & steady, volatile
WNEWY New York Football, inside six months 15.9 -4.5 2026-09-09 Very low & climbing, volatile
WNEW3 Inverse New York Football, inside six months 84.1 +4.5 2026-09-09 Very high & cooling, volatile
WOPEN Openai — Financials, inside six months 36.9 +0.1 2026-09-09 Low & cooling
WOPE2 Openai — Financials, inside two years 56.0 -0.5 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WPARL Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months 47.0 -0.7 2026-09-09 Moderate & cooling
WPHIL Philadelphia Football, inside six months 27.0 0.0 2026-09-09 Low & climbing
WPHI2 Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months 73.0 0.0 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling
WPITT Pittsburgh Football, inside six months 16.1 2026-09-09 Very low & climbing, volatile
WPIT2 Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months 83.9 2026-09-09 Very high & cooling, volatile
WPRES President — Politics, inside six months 42.2 +3.5 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing
WRATE Rate — Economics, inside six months 54.8 +11.7 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WRAT2 Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months 45.2 -11.7 2026-09-09 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WRAT3 Rate — Economics, inside two months 59.6 -0.8 2026-09-09 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WRAT4 Rates — Economics, inside two months 64.4 +6.6 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WRELE Released — Tech Science, inside six months 41.1 +3.1 2026-09-09 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WREP2 Republican — Elections, inside two years 66.4 +15.3 2026-09-09 Elevated
WRESE Reserve — Economics, inside six months 83.1 2026-09-09 Very high & climbing, volatile
WSANF San Francisco Football, inside six months 30.2 -1.5 2026-09-09 Low & climbing, volatile
WSAN2 Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months 69.8 +1.5 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WSCOR Score — Tech Science, inside six months 26.6 -2.4 2026-09-09 Low & cooling, volatile
WSCO2 Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months 73.4 +2.4 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WSEAT Seats — Elections, inside two months 61.5 +0.5 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WSEA2 Seats — Elections, inside two weeks 59.0 -1.1 2026-09-09 Moderate
WSEA3 Seattle Football, inside six months 32.6 -4.6 2026-09-09 Low & climbing, volatile
WSEA4 Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months 67.4 +4.6 2026-09-09 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WSENA Senate — Elections, inside six months 73.8 +5.4 2026-09-09 Elevated
WTAYL Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months 43.2 -0.3 2026-09-09 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WTENN Tennessee Football, inside six months 21.1 2026-09-09 Low & cooling
WTEN2 Inverse Tennessee Football, inside six months 78.9 2026-09-09 Elevated & climbing
WTRUM Trump — Politics, inside six months 27.0 +0.7 2026-09-09 Low
WWASH Washington Football, inside six months 30.2 2026-09-09 Low
WWAS2 Inverse Washington Football, inside six months 69.8 2026-09-09 Elevated
WYORK York — Sports, inside six months 33.1 +2.2 2026-09-09 Low & cooling, volatile

Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.