The Index Desk Report
LATESTFriday, September 4, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
23.0Low
102 / 134 live34 elevated40 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 23.0 (Low), down 0.6.
Fell 0.6 to 23.0 (Low), led by commodity-stress (20% leg) (29→27%) −0.6 repricing; recession-odds (25% leg) −0.1 repricing.
The board: 102 of 134 benchmarks live — 34 elevated (≥60), 40 calm (<40).
What moved
- WCOS 26.5 (▼2.8) — Fell 2.8 to 26.5 (Low), led by Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? (20→15%) −1.6 repricing; Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betwe… (79→80%) +0.0 repricing, +0.5 reweight; Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by Septembe… (86→85%) −0.1 repricing, −0.3 reweight.
- WAWD 43.5 (▼2.7) — Fell 2.7 to 43.5 (Moderate), led by Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (64→67%) −1.2 repricing; Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National Leag… (88→91%) −1.0 repricing; Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing… (93→94%) −0.3 repricing.
- WCHI 40.7 (▼2.5) — Fell 2.5 to 40.7 (Moderate), led by Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (64→67%) −1.5 repricing; Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National Leag… (88→91%) −0.3 repricing; Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December… (14→12%) −0.1 repricing.
- WINF 55.5 (▼1.0) — Fell 1.0 to 55.5 (Moderate), led by Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? (65→62%) −0.9 repricing; Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? (12→13%) +0.3 repricing; Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end… (59→56%) −0.3 repricing.
- WEHI 48.3 (▲0.9) — Rose 0.8 to 48.3 (Moderate), led by Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… (71→69%) +0.8 repricing; Will the Democratic Party control the House after t… (90→89%) +0.3 repricing; Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in Californi… +0.0 repricing, −0.1 reweight.
Projection watch
- WINC3 projected 11.6 in 14d (80% band 0–49), trending down.
- WINC4 projected 88.4 in 14d (80% band 52–100), trending up.
- WSHI projected 59.3 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 17.5 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 6.9 | — | 2026-09-04 | Very low & steady |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 48.3 | +0.9 | 2026-09-04 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 51.1 | -0.2 | 2026-09-04 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 24.0 | -0.2 | 2026-09-04 | Low & steady |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 41.4 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 31.4 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 40.7 | -2.5 | 2026-09-04 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 27.4 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 26.5 | -2.8 | 2026-09-04 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 64.8 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 60.9 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Elevated & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 41.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 29.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 31.0 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Low & cooling |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 28.7 | +0.4 | 2026-09-04 | Low & cooling |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.7 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Low & steady |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 55.5 | -1.0 | 2026-09-04 | Moderate & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 69.1 | — | 2026-09-04 | Elevated & climbing |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 17.0 | +0.6 | 2026-09-04 | Very low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 28.5 | +0.2 | 2026-09-04 | Low & climbing |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 43.5 | -2.7 | 2026-09-04 | Moderate & steady |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.4 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 75.2 | — | 2026-09-04 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 68.7 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 61.9 | 0.0 | 2026-09-04 | Elevated & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 23.0 | -0.6 | 2026-09-04 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 20.6 | — | 2026-09-04 | Low & climbing |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 31.2 | +0.3 | 2026-09-04 | Low & climbing |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 27.8 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 72.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 66.0 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 70.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 46.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 50.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 25.6 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 74.4 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 69.0 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 35.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 64.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 44.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 27.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & climbing |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 72.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & cooling |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 55.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 36.4 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 32.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & climbing |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 67.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & cooling |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 17.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very low & climbing |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 82.7 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very high & cooling |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 37.8 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 51.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 40.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 60.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 50.7 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 49.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 41.4 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 58.6 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 26.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 73.7 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 20.4 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 79.6 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 70.4 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 53.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 21.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 78.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 24.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 75.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing |
| WLASV | Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 14.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WLAS2 | Inverse Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 85.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 34.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & climbing |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 65.8 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & cooling |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 75.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 54.0 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 56.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMINN | Minnesota Football, inside six months | 20.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low |
| WMIN2 | Inverse Minnesota Football, inside six months | 79.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 27.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 72.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WNEWY | New York Football, inside six months | 15.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WNEW3 | Inverse New York Football, inside six months | 84.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 41.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 49.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing |
| WPARL | Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months | 50.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 24.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & steady |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 75.5 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & steady |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 37.8 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling |
| WRACE | Race — Elections, inside six months | 80.8 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 39.7 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 60.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 56.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 52.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 19.0 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 81.0 | — | 2026-09-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 41.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 58.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSEAT | Seats — Elections, inside two months | 71.0 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSEA2 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 29.3 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & steady |
| WSEA3 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 70.7 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated & steady |
| WTAMP | Tampa Bay Football, inside six months | 27.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low |
| WTAM2 | Inverse Tampa Bay Football, inside six months | 72.1 | — | 2026-09-03 | Elevated |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 50.2 | — | 2026-09-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WYORK | York — Sports, inside six months | 38.9 | — | 2026-09-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.