The Index Desk Report
Monday, August 31, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
18.8Very low
100 / 134 live27 elevated42 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 18.8 (Very low), up 0.3.
Fell 0.5 to 18.8 (Very low), led by geopolitical-risk (40% leg) (17→17%) +0.3 repricing; commodity-stress (20% leg) +0.1 repricing; climate-risk (15% leg) (32→31%) −0.1 repricing.
The board: 100 of 134 benchmarks live — 27 elevated (≥60), 42 calm (<40).
What moved
- WRATE 38.1 (▼21.9) — Rate — Economics, inside six months, down 21.9 on the day.
- WRAT2 61.9 (▲21.9) — Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months, up 21.9 on the day.
- WMEE2 54.3 (▼21.2) — Meeting — Economics, inside two months, down 21.2 on the day.
- WRAT3 55.0 (▼20.0) — Rate — Economics, inside two months, down 20.0 on the day.
- WRAT4 52.8 (▼19.3) — Rates — Economics, inside two months, down 19.3 on the day.
Projection watch
- WSTW projected 5.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WSHI projected 20.8 in 14d (80% band 0–99), trending down.
- WINC3 projected 16.3 in 14d (80% band 0–56), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 17.4 | +0.8 | 2026-08-31 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 6.3 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Very low & cooling |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 47.8 | +0.3 | 2026-08-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 51.3 | +0.2 | 2026-08-31 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 24.2 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Low & climbing |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 21.1 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 31.3 | -1.0 | 2026-08-31 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 36.7 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 27.4 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 5.4 | +0.4 | 2026-08-31 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 30.7 | — | 2026-08-10 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 51.7 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Moderate & steady |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 56.1 | +0.3 | 2026-08-31 | Moderate & steady |
| WELW | Election Week | 29.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 31.0 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Low & cooling |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 28.3 | -0.8 | 2026-08-31 | Low & cooling |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.7 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Low & steady |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 55.0 | +0.4 | 2026-08-31 | Moderate & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 72.2 | — | 2026-08-12 | Elevated & climbing |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 8.8 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Very low & steady |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 28.3 | +1.5 | 2026-08-31 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 42.7 | +0.1 | 2026-08-31 | Moderate & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.4 | — | 2026-08-09 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 64.8 | — | 2026-08-05 | Elevated |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 33.5 | — | 2026-08-08 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 58.6 | 0.0 | 2026-08-31 | Moderate & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 18.8 | +0.3 | 2026-08-31 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 13.1 | +0.1 | 2026-08-31 | Very low & steady |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 31.0 | +0.3 | 2026-08-31 | Low & climbing |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 34.8 | +5.2 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 65.2 | -5.2 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 64.8 | -2.0 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 80.6 | — | 2026-08-30 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 49.9 | +2.1 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 53.7 | +2.3 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 34.5 | +1.3 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 65.5 | -1.3 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 59.6 | +1.5 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 41.7 | +0.4 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 58.3 | -0.4 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 47.8 | +0.7 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 17.1 | +0.2 | 2026-08-30 | Very low & cooling |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 82.9 | -0.2 | 2026-08-30 | Very high & climbing |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 42.9 | -9.1 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 37.2 | -0.6 | 2026-08-30 | Low & cooling |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 28.0 | +0.1 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 72.0 | -0.1 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 16.0 | -1.5 | 2026-08-30 | Very low & climbing |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 84.0 | +1.5 | 2026-08-30 | Very high & cooling |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 39.4 | -0.2 | 2026-08-30 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 51.6 | -1.6 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 52.3 | +7.6 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 57.5 | +1.0 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 26.6 | -0.2 | 2026-08-30 | Low & cooling |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 73.4 | +0.2 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & climbing |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 38.8 | +6.3 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 61.2 | -6.3 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 38.9 | -6.1 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 61.1 | +6.1 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 16.8 | -3.3 | 2026-08-30 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 83.2 | +3.3 | 2026-08-30 | Very high & steady, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 25.5 | 0.0 | 2026-08-30 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 74.5 | 0.0 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 65.2 | -7.3 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 48.8 | -4.9 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 20.8 | — | 2026-08-30 | Low |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 79.3 | — | 2026-08-30 | Elevated |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 29.8 | -1.7 | 2026-08-30 | Low & steady |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 70.2 | +1.7 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & steady |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 35.7 | +2.0 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 64.3 | -2.0 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 73.7 | +7.9 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 54.3 | -21.2 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 44.4 | 0.0 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 55.2 | +0.4 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMINN | Minnesota Football, inside six months | 21.1 | — | 2026-08-30 | Low |
| WMIN2 | Inverse Minnesota Football, inside six months | 78.9 | — | 2026-08-30 | Elevated |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 34.2 | +4.6 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 65.8 | -4.6 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 45.8 | +1.4 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & steady |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 46.2 | +1.1 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing |
| WPARL | Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months | 53.4 | +1.2 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 23.9 | -0.6 | 2026-08-30 | Low & steady |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 76.1 | +0.6 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & steady |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 40.1 | +0.5 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling |
| WRACE | Race — Elections, inside six months | 78.8 | +2.7 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 38.1 | -21.9 | 2026-08-30 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 61.9 | +21.9 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 55.0 | -20.0 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 52.8 | -19.3 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 54.5 | -5.5 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 55.9 | +10.7 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 31.5 | +4.8 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 68.5 | -4.8 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WSEAT | Seats — Elections, inside two months | 51.9 | -3.9 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA2 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 27.8 | -0.7 | 2026-08-30 | Low & climbing |
| WSEA3 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 72.2 | +0.7 | 2026-08-30 | Elevated & cooling |
| WTAMP | Tampa Bay Football, inside six months | 27.2 | — | 2026-08-30 | Low |
| WTAM2 | Inverse Tampa Bay Football, inside six months | 72.8 | — | 2026-08-30 | Elevated |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 46.5 | +4.6 | 2026-08-30 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.