Not listed · a composite of other index values

This reading is a weighted composite of other published W.E.T. indices — it holds no markets of its own, so it declares no universe for the current standard to hold to a subject. Its legs are each governed in their own right. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It is not waiting on a methodology. The standard governs an index’s claim over a market universe, and this one prices index values instead, so the migration that returns the other delisted indices cannot reach it as written. See the published suite →

WMSI

W.E.T. Macro Stress Index

v1Slate
19.800.30 (1.49%)Very low & steady

As of Sep 14, 2026 · last moved Sep 12, 2026 · scale 0–100 (CalmStressed)

A headline blend of recession, commodity, and rate-cut pressure — the macro-stress read.

Key statistics

Previous
20.10
Band
Very low
35d Range
1322
Percentile
80th
7d Change
0.4
Volatility
1.7 pts/d
Streak
Markets
3
Effective N
2.9
Top Weight
40%
Venues
Method
v1

Daily close

35d published · interactive

35 published close(s) — 0–100 (Calm → Stressed). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 11 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.

History & 14-day projection

solid = 35d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% band
1015202530now20
Projected 14d
20.30
Change
+0.50
80% band
1130
Confidence
moderate

Model extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 35 readings, slope +0.08/day, projection σ 2.0 pts/d widened for a 35-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.

Desk read

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The desk's read on today's move

Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.

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What moved today

attribution — Premium
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Which markets moved the index, and by how much

Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.

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Legs by weight

all 3 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-14) · the basket below holds a different set
recession-odds (40% leg)23% · 40.0%
commodity-stress (35% leg)26% · 35.0%
fed-path (25% leg)6% · 25.0%

The view this index measures

Every W.E.T. index tracks a question someone can hold a view on. This one is mapped to this question in the Worldview thesis map. Answering one places you on its continuum; this index is what that answer is measurable against.

  • Does the US dodge recession?

    Recession hits within a yearThe expansion holds

Where do you stand? The Worldview builder asks from this same set of questions and matches your answers to the W.E.T. indexes that measure them.

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WMSI · at a glance

What it is
The financial-conditions headline — one number for US macro stress.
High vs low
Higher = more macro stress (recession risk + commodity spikes + easing pressure). Lower = calm.
Who cares
Macro reporters and investors who want a single read on US financial-conditions stress.

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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date
“As of Sep 14, 2026, the W.E.T. Macro Stress Index (WMSI) prints a WET Index Score of 19.8/100 (Very low), per World Event Trading.”

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Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.