Readings may not describe today48 scheduled closes did not landWhy →
48 behind

48 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-23 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-22. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.

Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes

Not listed · a composite of other index values

This reading is a weighted composite of other published W.E.T. indices — it holds no markets of its own, so it declares no universe for the current standard to hold to a subject. Its legs are each governed in their own right. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It is not waiting on a methodology. The standard governs an index’s claim over a market universe, and this one prices index values instead, so the migration that returns the other delisted indices cannot reach it as written. See the published suite →

WMSI

W.E.T. Macro Stress Index

v1Slate
15.70Stale · 48 closes behindVery low & cooling

As of Sep 22, 2026 · last moved Sep 22, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Calm → Stressed)

A headline blend of recession, commodity, and rate-cut pressure — the macro-stress read.

Key statistics

Previous
—
Band
Very low
41d Range
1322
Percentile
42th
8d Change
−4.1
Volatility
1.7 pts/d
Streak
—
Markets
3
Effective N
2.9
Top Weight
40%
Venues
—
Method
v1

Daily close

41d published · interactive

41 published close(s) — 0–100 (Calm → Stressed). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 13 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.

History & 14-day projection

solid = 41d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% band
510152025now16
Projected 14d
15.80
Change
+0.10
80% band
7–25
Confidence
moderate

Model extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 41 readings, slope +0.01/day, projection σ 1.9 pts/d widened for a 41-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.

Desk read

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The desk's read on today's move

Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.

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What moved today

attribution — Premium
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Which markets moved the index, and by how much

Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.

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Legs by weight

all 3 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-22) · the basket below holds a different set
recession-odds (40% leg)24% · 40.0%
commodity-stress (35% leg)16% · 35.0%
fed-path (25% leg)3% · 25.0%

The view this index measures

Every W.E.T. index tracks a question someone can hold a view on. This one is mapped to this question in the Worldview thesis map. Answering one places you on its continuum; this index is what that answer is measurable against.

  • Will the US fall into a recession in the next 12 months?

    A recession hitsThe economy keeps growing

Where do you stand? The Worldview builder asks from this same set of questions and matches your answers to the W.E.T. indexes that measure them.

Turn your perspective into a portfolio →

WMSI · at a glance

What it is
The financial-conditions headline — one number for US macro stress.
High vs low
Higher = more macro stress (recession risk + commodity spikes + easing pressure). Lower = calm.
Who cares
Macro reporters and investors who want a single read on US financial-conditions stress.

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Quote this index

free to cite with attribution + the as-of date
“As of Sep 22, 2026, the W.E.T. Macro Stress Index (WMSI) prints a WET Index Score of 15.7/100 (Very low), per World Event Trading.”

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Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.