WINF
W.E.T. Inflation Watch Index
v149.10— Moderate
As of Aug 1, 2026 · last moved Aug 1, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Cooling → Running hot)
How much upside inflation pressure the market is pricing into the next prints.
View the basket — the real markets + combined performance →Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Moderate
- 1d Range
- building
- Percentile
- —
- 7d Change
- —
- Volatility
- —
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 25
- Effective N
- 6.1
- Top Weight
- 30%
- Volume
- $760k
- Venues
- 25 P
- Method
- v1
- Basket
- 25/25
- Frozen
- 2026-08-01
History & 14-day projection
projection builds with historyProjection begins once 7 daily readings are in (1/7 so far).
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — Premium🔒
Premium
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
Checking access…
What moved today
attribution — Premium🔒
Premium
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Checking access…
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueeconomics100% · 25
Constituents by weight
colored by category · every input auditable on its venueFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?66% · 30.0%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?24% · 23.0%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?65% · 8.5%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?42% · 8.1%
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?57% · 5.0%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?35% · 4.4%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?69% · 2.7%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?54% · 2.2%
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?65% · 2.1%
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?7% · 1.7%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?38% · 1.6%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?50% · 1.5%
WINF · at a glance
- What it is
- The price-pressure gauge — how hot the market thinks prints will run.
- High vs low
- Higher = markets pricing hotter inflation. Lower = cooling.
- Who cares
- Rates and macro desks reading CPI risk between prints.
Embed this score
always shows the current reading · attribution built inPut the live WINF reading on your own site, README, or newsletter.
Badge · works anywhere images do
Card · iframe for articles & dashboards
Markdown badge
[](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/inflation-watch)HTML badge
<a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/inflation-watch"><img src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/indices/inflation-watch/badge" alt="WINF — WET Index Score" /></a>Iframe card
<iframe src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/embed/indices/inflation-watch" width="340" height="170" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="WINF — WET Index Score" loading="lazy"></iframe>Quote this index
free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Aug 1, 2026, the W.E.T. Inflation Watch Index (WINF) prints a WET Index Score of 49.1/100 (Moderate), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.