Readings may not describe today48 scheduled closes did not landWhy →Hide
48 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-23 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-22. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.
Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes
Superseded · no longer on the board
This reading predates the desk’s current standard — it carries no compiled methodology, no inverse twin and no failure ladder. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It rejoins the board the day its methodology is compiled and ratified. See the published suite →
W.E.T. Inverse W.E.T. Flashpoint Watch Index Index 6mo
v1SlateExperimentalStandingAs of Sep 22, 2026 · last moved Sep 22, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Low support → High support)
Across the flashpoint watch universe, the prediction-market board reads the near term looks contained.
The opposing claim
the same roster, read the other way — one close, two seriesThis index is one side of a pair. The same canonical roster, consolidated once, is read against the opposite case and published as its own governed series — so the counter-argument is a number on the board, not a caveat in the prose.
Read the opposite side →Holding both sides of this argument should cost nothing — the outcomes are exhaustive. It does not. The two levels sum to 1859.13 against a combined base of 2,000, and that gap is path, spread and friction rather than a view about the world. Gauges complement exactly; levels do not, because a level remembers the route it took.
Friction gauge Φ 0.92 · complement residual 0 — the gauge identity is checked at every close and published whether or not it holds.
Key statistics
- Previous
- —
- Band
- Elevated
- 25d Range
- 6479
- Percentile
- 72th
- 8d Change
- +4.9
- Volatility
- 3.2 pts/d
- Streak
- 2d up
- Markets
- 36
- Effective N
- 7.1
- Top Weight
- 25%
- Venues
- 36 P
- Method
- v1
Daily close
25d published · interactive25 published close(s) — 0–100 (Low support → High support). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 9 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 25d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% bandModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 25 readings, slope -0.39/day, projection σ 3.9 pts/d widened for a 25-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — PremiumPremium
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — PremiumPremium
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
all 36 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-22) · the basket below holds a different setShow the remaining 16 holdingsHide the remaining 16 holdings
Where these markets are covered
8 of 36 constituents have a W.E.T. pageThe odds pages covering the individual contracts this index reads. They are the evidence underneath the reading, not readings themselves.
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — Odds
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Odds
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Odds
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Odds
- Israel military action against Yemen by...? — Odds
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Odds
- Israel military action against Beirut by...? — Odds
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? — Odds & Probability
WFLAS · at a glance
- What it is
- Across the flashpoint watch universe, the prediction-market board reads the near term looks contained.
- High vs low
- Higher = the composition is pricing more support for this thesis. Lower = less. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
- Who cares
- Anyone tracking how flashpoint-watch is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 3 markets resolving inside 92.32000000000001 days.
Embed this score
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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Sep 22, 2026, the W.E.T. Inverse W.E.T. Flashpoint Watch Index Index 6mo (WFLAS) prints a WET Index Score of 71.4/100 (Elevated), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.