What moved?
Identify the headline, data release, court ruling, social event, or on-chain catalyst that changed the market.
Most trading news is written for investors after the fact. W.E.T. writes for prediction market traders who need to know what changed, what odds moved, and what catalyst matters next.
Identify the headline, data release, court ruling, social event, or on-chain catalyst that changed the market.
Compare probability, volume, liquidity, and spreads before assuming a headline created a real trading edge.
Map the next dated catalyst, deadline, debate, report, or market close that can resolve uncertainty.
Check venue rules, liquidity, position sizing, regulatory limits, and whether the information is already priced in.
Stories that connect news to priced-in expectations, catalysts, and tradable market questions.
Markets now price 15% odds of formal US-Greenland negotiations beginning in 2026, up from 4% pre-inauguration.
Executive order volume already exceeds first-term pace, with markets pricing 78% chance of 50+ orders in first week.
January rate cut odds at 32% (Kalshi) vs 35% (Polymarket). March meeting becoming the key battleground.
Markets price 45-48% odds of $100K Bitcoin by April 1. Institutional flow data suggests momentum building.
AI regulation odds at 18-22% for 2026, but youth safety incidents could shift political calculus.