The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — August 30 down 87 pts to 12%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
August 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
320-339 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
↓ 44 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Apple · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Alexander Blockx 53%
Sports · Amanda Anisimova 53%
Sports · Alex de Minaur 81%
Sports · Rafael Jodar 69%
Sports · Arthur Fils 60%
Sports · Diana Shnaider 77%
Sports · Thiago Agustin Tirante 57%
Sports · Iga Swiatek 88%
Sports · Match Winner 52%
Sports · Match Winner 85%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Legendary rugby league winger Boston dies aged 92 — BBC
- Nvidia, Supermicro employees charged over export of AI servers to China — Al Jazeera
- What to Watch in Tuesday’s Primary Runoffs in South Carolina and Oklahoma — New York Times
- Yorkshireman believed to be first Briton to die fighting for Russia against Ukraine — The Guardian
- Pakistan says significant progress made in talks on Iran-US war — Al Jazeera
- Why Irregular’s A.I. Tests for Meta, Anthropic and OpenAI Went Off the Rails — New York Times
- Who are Iran’s top trading partners US would need to target to isolate it? — Al Jazeera
- Los Angeles Dodgers Owner’s Troubles Roil Insurance World — New York Times
- For Some in a Disrupted D.C., Grand Prix Is More Irritation Than Celebration — New York Times
- Extreme Heat Watch issued August 23 at 12:06AM PDT until August 28 at 8:00PM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA — National Weather Service
- Extreme Heat Watch issued August 23 at 12:06AM PDT until August 28 at 8:00PM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA — National Weather Service
- Extreme Heat Watch issued August 23 at 12:06AM PDT until August 28 at 8:00PM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.