What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?
By Corbin King · Updated September 2, 2026
As of September 2, 2026, the prediction market implies a 48% chance of ↓ 2,300 on Polymarket, with $137.6K in venue-reported volume.
Implied probability snapshot
Market favorite
↓ 2,300 — market favorite
Polymarket · $137.6K reported volume
48%
Implied
Venue listing
View the live market on Polymarket
This W.E.T. observation is dated. Open Polymarket to verify later availability and price changes.
Driving coverage
Open the Newsroom →Price ladder — what the market is pricing
Even odds to reach
—/—
down / up, at 50% or better
Where the weight is
67% below
priced to travel down
Rungs priced
14
thresholds with a recorded mark
Each rung is a market: ↑ reach that level or higher, ↓ fall to it or lower. Bar = implied probability.
Fetched venue snapshot — market navigation
One cached fetch of the venue-attributed rows W.E.T. matched to this event. Filter the returned rows by type; this panel does not poll, subscribe, or claim exhaustive venue coverage.
Odds — dated market snapshotas of September 2, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
↓ 2,300 | Polymarket | 48% | $32.7K |
↑ 2,500 | Polymarket | 22% | $19.4K |
↓ 2,200 | Polymarket | 14% | $35K |
↑ 2,600 | Polymarket | 7% | $12.3K |
↓ 2,100 | Polymarket | 5% | $709 |
↑ 2,700 | Polymarket | 2% | $21.7K |
↓ 2,000 | Polymarket | 2% | — |
↑ 3,100 | Polymarket | 1% | $6K |
↓ 1,900 | Polymarket | 1% | $1.7K |
↑ 2,800 | Polymarket | 1% | $1.5K |
↓ 1,700 | Polymarket | 1% | $1.5K |
↑ 3,000 | Polymarket | 1% | $533 |
↓ 1,800 | Polymarket | 1% | $151 |
↑ 2,900 | Polymarket | 1% | $33 |
Implied probability = the venue’s YES price read as a percentage at capture. This is a dated observation; use the attributed venue link, when available, to verify later changes.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the September 2, 2026 snapshot · 46/100 · Developing Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 21/30 | $137.6K in comparable USD-reported volume. Log-scaled: $1k scores 0, while $1M+ maxes the component. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 15/15 | 14 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 attributable day tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Read it here. Act on it with the desk.
Everything above stays free — the score, the component breakdown, any eligible confirmed comparison, and the methodology. W.E.T. Premium doesn't unlock a hidden number; it adds the tooling that turns a reading into a workflow: the Crowd–Market Gap Tracker, dated Index Desk reads and drivers, and the Community crowd–market gap value and direction.
Key takeaways
- One tracked Polymarket listing prices ↓ 2,300 at 48% implied probability.
- Polymarket reports $138K in venue-native event volume.
- This is implied probability from venue prices observed as of Wednesday, September 2 — not a tip or a forecast of the result.
The prediction market prices What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6? at 48% implied probability on Polymarket as of Wednesday, September 2. Here is the dated market read.
What the prediction market is pricing
Across 14 tracked market rows, Polymarket reports $138K in venue-native event volume. ↓ 2,300 leads at 48%, a narrow favorite, ahead of ↑ 2,500 at 22%. It currently trades on Polymarket; any related listing on another venue remains separate until identity is confirmed.
How crypto price markets like this work
Crypto markets here resolve on a price threshold or an on-chain or regulatory event by a set date. A “price above X” contract is effectively a live option on where the asset trades at expiry.
What could move it
Spot price action, ETF flows, macro liquidity, exchange and regulatory news, and large on-chain moves reprice these markets fast. Because real money is on the line, the price reprices quickly around these catalysts — which is what makes 48% a live estimate rather than a settled call.
Reading the number
A contract at 48¢ implies a 48% chance the market resolves YES: a dated venue observation of implied probability, not a forecast or a tip from W.E.T. The figure above is a snapshot as of Wednesday, September 2; odds move continuously, so open Polymarket for the current line.
Track this and every Crypto market on the live Event Dashboard, or browse all Crypto odds & probability. For the mechanics, see the prediction markets guide.
Frequently asked questions
What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?
As of Wednesday, September 2, Polymarket price ↓ 2,300 at 48% implied probability. Implied probability is the market's YES price read as a percentage; it moves continuously, so check the live venue for the current line.
What is the probability of ↓ 2,300?
The prediction market implies a 48% chance of ↓ 2,300 on Polymarket as of Wednesday, September 2 — that is what traders are collectively pricing, not a forecast from W.E.T.
What is the difference between the Kalshi and Polymarket odds?
This dated observation includes Polymarket. A second venue listing is shown separately until W.E.T. confirms same-outcome equivalence.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These are dated venue observations shown as implied probability — a record of what traders were collectively paying at the stated time, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
Markets & sources
Related topics
Best Prediction Market Platforms: Kalshi, Polymarket & Beyond
How Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx, PredictIt, Manifold, and Metaculus compare on regulation, funding rails, liquidity, and fees — no hype, just trade-offs.
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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-august-31-september-6-odds-2026-09-07?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=what-price-will-ethereum-hit-august-31-september-6-odds-2026-09-07">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
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