Georgia vs Arkansas: Prediction, Odds & Probability
By Corbin V King · Updated September 13, 2026
Live score desk
Live scores appear here when an exact game match is available.
As of September 13, 2026, the prediction market implies a 95% chance of Georgia on Kalshi, with 25.2K contracts in venue-reported volume.
Implied probability snapshot
Market favorite
Georgia — market favorite
Kalshi · 25.2K contracts reported volume
95%
Implied
Venue listing
View the live market on Kalshi
This W.E.T. observation is dated. Open Kalshi to verify later availability and price changes.
Driving coverage
Open the Newsroom →The book — how tightly this is priced
Kalshi snapshot sum
102%
near 100 — one Kalshi outcome snapshot · two-way
Odds — dated market snapshotas of September 13, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Georgia | Kalshi | 95% | 20.9K contracts |
Arkansas | Kalshi | 7% | 4.3K contracts |
Implied probability = the venue’s YES price read as a percentage at capture. This is a dated observation; use the attributed venue link, when available, to verify later changes.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the September 13, 2026 snapshot · 23/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 10/30 | 25.2K venue-reported contracts. Contract counts are not converted to dollars, so this component remains at the documented neutral 10/30. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 3/15 | 2 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 attributable day tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Prediction desk tools
The published reading above is complete. Account-aware tools load after the article settles so identity work cannot compete with the answer.
Checking desk access…
Key takeaways
- One tracked Kalshi listing prices Georgia at 95% implied probability.
- Kalshi reports 25,168 contracts in venue-native event volume.
- This is implied probability from venue prices observed as of Sunday, September 13 — not a tip or a forecast of the result.
Prediction markets make Georgia the favorite in Georgia vs Arkansas, pricing the outcome at 95% implied probability on Kalshi as of Sunday, September 13. Here is the dated market read.
What the prediction market is pricing
Across 2 tracked market rows, Kalshi reports 25,168 contracts in venue-native event volume. Georgia leads at 95%, a strong favorite, ahead of Arkansas at 7%. It currently trades on Kalshi; any related listing on another venue remains separate until identity is confirmed.
How sports markets like this settle
Sports markets resolve on the game itself — a final result, a score line, a player total. The implied probability is what traders are collectively paying for each outcome, repriced live as lineups, injuries, and in-game events land.
What could move it
Team news and injuries, roster and lineup changes, weather for outdoor games, and the way the line drifts from open to close as sharp money arrives are what move these prices. Because real money is on the line, the price reprices quickly around these catalysts — which is what makes 95% a live estimate rather than a settled call.
Reading the number
A contract at 95¢ implies a 95% chance the market resolves YES: a dated venue observation of implied probability, not a forecast or a tip from W.E.T. The figure above is a snapshot as of Sunday, September 13; odds move continuously, so open Kalshi for the current line.
Track this and every Sports market on the live Event Dashboard, or browse all Sports odds & probability. For the mechanics, see the prediction markets guide.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Georgia vs Arkansas?
As of Sunday, September 13, Kalshi price Georgia at 95% implied probability. Implied probability is the market's YES price read as a percentage; it moves continuously, so check the live venue for the current line.
What is the probability of Georgia?
The prediction market implies a 95% chance of Georgia on Kalshi as of Sunday, September 13 — that is what traders are collectively pricing, not a forecast from W.E.T.
What is the difference between the Kalshi and Polymarket odds?
This dated observation includes Kalshi. A second venue listing is shown separately until W.E.T. confirms same-outcome equivalence.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These are dated venue observations shown as implied probability — a record of what traders were collectively paying at the stated time, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
Markets & sources
What Is a Prediction Market? How Event Trading Works
A prediction market lets traders buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, with prices that read as probabilities. Here is how event trading works.
Read on the WireEmbed this market
Put this dated odds snapshot on your site, newsletter, or blog. The card states its as-of date and attributed venue; it changes only when W.E.T. publishes a newer observation and does not independently stream the venue. Works anywhere you can paste an iframe (Substack, WordPress, Ghost, Webflow), and the attribution links back to the full W.E.T. breakdown. Browse available snapshot cards in the widget gallery.
Preview
<iframe src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/embed/predictions/georgia-vs-arkansas-odds-2026-09-21" width="480" height="200" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Georgia vs Arkansas — prediction market odds by World Event Trading"></iframe>
<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/georgia-vs-arkansas-odds-2026-09-21?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=georgia-vs-arkansas-odds-2026-09-21">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
Continue through event navigation
Browse fetched venue snapshots, catalysts, and attributed listings. Numerical comparisons remain withheld until the canonical graph confirms the same outcome and settlement basis.