Loading…
Checking venue odds for this outcome…
All event outcomes →Venue observation · Observation time unavailable
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
Market backs No at 98% — all but decided.
This snapshot shows the selected venue contract. Related venue evidence is shown separately when available.
Loading the tape…
Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.
The Signal Sheet
We are not collecting marketing-email signups right now. In the meantime, browse the latest Signal Sheet.
Additional venue odds are temporarily unavailable. Selected venue details remain below.
All event outcomes →Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.
Native contract response received . This is WET’s document ingestion time.
Refused · no-key-match
no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent
Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs
Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt
Refused · not-configured
The research engine has not been activated.
Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised
Refused · no-key-match
No explicit supported speaker and Fed press-conference occasion is carried by this listing.
Retires when Select one verified phrase listing whose speaker, occasion and contract window are bound in stored context.
Refused · settlement-basis-unavailable
No rights-cleared live transcript source is connected. Historical transcripts do not provide a live count.
Measured 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC: HRD-005
Retires when A rights-cleared live source and its contract counting rules are approved.
As-of time not recorded · unknown
Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row
As-of time not recorded · unknown
Polymarket · retrieved 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC · venue terms permit display · venue-settlement-rules/v1