Loading…

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel Prediction Market

sportsPolymarket · selected venue

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel

Additional venue odds are temporarily unavailable. Selected venue details remain below.

All event outcomes →

Checking venue odds for this outcome…

All event outcomes →

— volume· Resolves Nov 17· Venue-attributed quote refreshes every 8s

Lorenzo Musetti70%Toby Samuel30%

Venue observation · Observation time unavailable

Loading price history…

Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:23:45.018 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-10 18:30 UTCKickofflorenzo musetti vs toby samuelevent identity
2026-11-17 18:30 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Toby Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all)…
Full text
or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing

Actions

Evidence

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Community Read

— yes · 0 votes

WET InsightVenue-attributed

Market backs Lorenzo Musetti at 70% — a clear lean.

This read covers the selected venue quote. See the venue evidence for related contracts.
Thin book — moves cheaply · 7 days to resolution.

WET Odds

Selected venue snapshot

Lorenzo Musetti

70%

Toby Samuel

30%

Polymarket (global)70%—$5.3K liquidity

This snapshot shows the selected venue contract. Related venue evidence is shown separately when available.

Live Trades

Polymarket tape · Lorenzo Musetti

Loading the tape…

View venue listings

Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

View venue listings

Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

The Signal Sheet

Signal Sheet email updates are currently off

We are not collecting marketing-email signups right now. In the meantime, browse the latest Signal Sheet.

Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:23:45.018 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-10 18:30 UTCKickofflorenzo musetti vs toby samuelevent identity
2026-11-17 18:30 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins the first set. It will resolve to “Toby Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all)…
Full text
or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing

Actions