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Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experie…

politicsPolymarket · selected venue

Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of November 9?

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$3 volume· Resolves Nov 16· Venue-attributed quote refreshes every 8s

Yes54%No46.5%

Venue observation · Observation time unavailable

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Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:09:56.074 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Mentions — transcript history

Data

Refused · no-key-match

No explicit supported speaker and Fed press-conference occasion is carried by this listing.

Availability details

Retires when Select one verified phrase listing whose speaker, occasion and contract window are bound in stored context.

Mentions — live count

Data

Refused · settlement-basis-unavailable

No rights-cleared live transcript source is connected. Historical transcripts do not provide a live count.

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 14:09 UTC: HRD-005

Retires when A rights-cleared live source and its contract counting rules are approved.

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-16 04:59 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between November 9, 2026 and November 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience…
Full text
episodes. The resolution source will be the specified episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing

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Evidence

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Community Read

— yes · 0 votes

WET InsightVenue-attributed

A genuine toss-up at 54/46.

This read covers the selected venue quote. See the venue evidence for related contracts.
Thin book — moves cheaply · 6 days to resolution.

WET Odds

Selected venue snapshot

Yes

54%

46.5%

Polymarket (global)54%$3$142 liquidity

This snapshot shows the selected venue contract. Related venue evidence is shown separately when available.

Live Trades

Polymarket tape · Yes

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Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of November 9 · YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

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Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

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Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:09:56.074 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Mentions — transcript history

Data

Refused · no-key-match

No explicit supported speaker and Fed press-conference occasion is carried by this listing.

Availability details

Retires when Select one verified phrase listing whose speaker, occasion and contract window are bound in stored context.

Mentions — live count

Data

Refused · settlement-basis-unavailable

No rights-cleared live transcript source is connected. Historical transcripts do not provide a live count.

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 14:09 UTC: HRD-005

Retires when A rights-cleared live source and its contract counting rules are approved.

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-16 04:59 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between November 9, 2026 and November 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience…
Full text
episodes. The resolution source will be the specified episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing

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