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Set 1 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Prediction Market

sportsPolymarket · selected venue

Set 1 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka

Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka

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$5 volume· Resolves Nov 16· Venue-attributed quote refreshes every 8s

Sebastian Baez49%Daniil Glinka51.5%

Venue observation · Observation time unavailable

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Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:15:39.503 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-10 15:45 UTCKickoffdaniil glinka vs sebastian baezevent identity
2026-11-16 09:00 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Daniil Glinka in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sebastian Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Daniil Glinka” if Daniil Glinka wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has n…
Full text
ot begun by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing

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Evidence

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Community Read

— yes · 0 votes

WET InsightVenue-attributed

A genuine toss-up at 49/51.

This read covers the selected venue quote. See the venue evidence for related contracts.
Moderate liquidity · 6 days to resolution.

WET Odds

Selected venue snapshot

Sebastian Baez

49%

Daniil Glinka

51.5%

Polymarket (global)49%$5$13.7K liquidity

This snapshot shows the selected venue contract. Related venue evidence is shown separately when available.

Live Trades

Polymarket tape · Sebastian Baez

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Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

View venue listings

Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.

Find on Polymarket USGlobal quote: YES sideSelected quote: Polymarket

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Native contract response received 2026-11-10 14:15:39.503 UTC. This is WET’s document ingestion time.

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Datarelated measurement

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-11-10 15:45 UTCKickoffdaniil glinka vs sebastian baezevent identity
2026-11-16 09:00 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket: This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Daniil Glinka in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sebastian Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Daniil Glinka” if Daniil Glinka wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has n…
Full text
ot begun by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing

Actions