The Index Desk Report

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Tuesday, September 8, 2026

The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.

Headline · WWRI

W.E.T. World Risk Index

21.3Low
112 / 139 live38 elevated44 calm

W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 21.3 (Low), down 0.7.

Fell 1.1 to 21.3 (Low), led by recession-odds (25% leg) (24→23%) −0.4 repricing; commodity-stress (20% leg) (24→22%) −0.4 repricing.

The board: 112 of 139 benchmarks live — 38 elevated (≥60), 44 calm (<40).

What moved

  • WINC3 19.7 (▼21.5) — Increase — Economics, inside two months, down 21.5 on the day.
  • WINC4 80.3 (▲21.5) — Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months, up 21.5 on the day.
  • WBANK 76.3 (▲19.0) — Bank — Economics, inside six months, up 19.0 on the day.
  • WRATE 43.2 (▼13.2) — Rate — Economics, inside six months, down 13.2 on the day.
  • WRAT2 56.8 (▲13.2) — Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months, up 13.2 on the day.

Projection watch

  • WINC3 projected 12.8 in 14d (80% band 0–67), trending down.
  • WINC4 projected 87.2 in 14d (80% band 34–100), trending up.
  • WTAYL projected 58.6 in 14d (80% band 12–100), trending up.

The full board

Ticker Index Score 1d As of Regime
WGRI Geopolitical Risk 17.5 +0.1 2026-09-08 Very low & steady, volatile
WFPI Fed Path 8.1 0.0 2026-09-08 Very low & climbing
WEHI Election Heat 47.3 -1.5 2026-09-08 Moderate & steady, volatile
WARI AI Race 51.1 0.0 2026-09-08 Moderate & steady, volatile
WRCI Recession Odds 22.8 -1.5 2026-09-08 Low & cooling
WCGF Crypto Greed 41.0 -0.9 2026-09-08 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WCDR Climate Risk 27.6 -0.3 2026-09-08 Low & cooling, volatile
WCHI Culture Heat 42.4 0.0 2026-09-08 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WPTI Political Turmoil 27.0 -0.6 2026-09-08 Low & steady, volatile
WCOS Commodity Stress 22.2 -1.9 2026-09-08 Low & climbing, volatile
WSHI Sports Heat 56.3 2026-09-08 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WEGF Equity Greed 60.8 +0.5 2026-09-08 Elevated & climbing
WMID Midterm Control 26.4 2026-09-08 Low & cooling, volatile
WELW Election Week 29.7 2026-08-25 Low & cooling, volatile
WFLA Flashpoint Watch 29.9 0.0 2026-09-08 Low & cooling
WDCW Washington Week 27.7 -0.7 2026-09-08 Low & cooling
WGEA Global Easing 26.9 0.0 2026-09-08 Low & steady
WINF Inflation Watch 55.1 +0.7 2026-09-08 Moderate & steady
WEBI Earnings Beat 69.2 0.0 2026-09-08 Elevated & cooling
WBTP Bitcoin Path 18.8 +0.3 2026-09-08 Very low & climbing
WALT Altcoin Heat 28.6 +0.2 2026-09-08 Low & climbing
WAWD Awards Race 42.2 -1.2 2026-09-08 Moderate & steady
WSTW Storm Watch 27.1 -2.4 2026-09-07 Low & cooling, volatile
WFAV Favorites Combo 70.0 2026-09-08 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WSOC Soccer Heat 97.0 +1.4 2026-09-08 Very high & climbing, volatile
WNFL Gridiron Futures 61.9 0.0 2026-09-08 Elevated & climbing
WWRI World Risk 21.3 -0.7 2026-09-08 Low & climbing, volatile
WMSI Macro Stress 18.9 -1.3 2026-09-08 Very low & climbing
WUPR US Political Risk 30.7 -0.7 2026-09-08 Low & steady
WACHI Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months 28.6 0.0 2026-09-07 Low & cooling, volatile
WACH2 Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months 71.4 0.0 2026-09-07 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WALBU Album — Culture, inside six months 70.0 +4.8 2026-09-07 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WANGE Angeles — Sports, inside six months 73.6 +10.0 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WANTH Anthropic — Financials, inside six months 45.9 -0.2 2026-09-07 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WARTI Artist — Culture, inside six months 58.9 +11.4 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WBALT Baltimore Football, inside six months 30.4 2026-09-07 Low & steady, volatile
WBAL2 Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months 69.6 2026-09-07 Elevated & steady, volatile
WBANK Bank — Economics, inside six months 76.3 +19.0 2026-09-07 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WBUFF Buffalo Football, inside six months 41.7 +2.4 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WBUF2 Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months 58.3 -2.4 2026-09-07 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WCAPT Capture — Politics, inside six months 46.8 +1.5 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WCHIC Chicago Football, inside six months 23.8 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WCHI2 Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months 76.2 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WCINC Cincinnati Football, inside six months 32.3 +3.9 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WCIN2 Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months 67.7 -3.9 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WCODE Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months 47.3 -4.6 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WCOUN Country — Politics, inside six months 32.7 -1.6 2026-09-07 Low & cooling
WDALL Dallas Football, inside six months 31.9 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WDAL2 Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months 68.1 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WDEMO Democratic — Elections, inside two years 42.6 2026-09-07 Moderate
WDENV Denver Football, inside six months 35.4 +3.8 2026-09-07 Low & climbing
WDEN2 Inverse Denver Football, inside six months 64.6 -3.8 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling
WDETR Detroit Football, inside six months 24.3 2026-09-07 Low & climbing
WDET2 Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months 75.7 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling
WELEC Election — Politics, inside six months 41.1 +0.1 2026-09-07 Moderate & steady, volatile
WELE2 Election — Politics, inside two months 62.0 +3.8 2026-09-07 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WFEDE Federal — Economics, inside six months 51.9 +5.9 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WGOOG Google — Tech Science, inside six months 60.8 -2.0 2026-09-07 Elevated & steady, volatile
WGREE Green Bay Football, inside six months 27.9 -0.5 2026-09-07 Low & climbing
WGRE2 Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months 72.1 +0.5 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling
WHIGH Higher — Tech Science, inside six months 39.2 -0.4 2026-09-07 Low & steady, volatile
WHIG2 Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months 60.8 +0.4 2026-09-07 Elevated & steady, volatile
WHIKE Hike — Economics, inside six months 42.4 +4.3 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WHIK2 Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months 57.6 -4.3 2026-09-07 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WHOUS House — Elections, inside two years 55.8 2026-09-07 Moderate
WINCR Increase — Economics, inside six months 35.1 +0.9 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WINC2 Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months 64.9 -0.9 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WINC3 Increase — Economics, inside two months 19.7 -21.5 2026-09-07 Very low & cooling, volatile
WINC4 Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months 80.3 +21.5 2026-09-07 Very high & climbing, volatile
WINTE Interest — Economics, inside six months 70.4 +0.9 2026-09-07 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WINT2 Interest — Economics, inside two months 58.4 +0.1 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing
WKANS Kansas City Football, inside six months 38.2 +6.9 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WKAN2 Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months 61.8 -6.9 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WLASV Las Vegas Football, inside six months 20.8 -4.1 2026-09-07 Low & cooling, volatile
WLAS2 Inverse Las Vegas Football, inside six months 79.2 +4.1 2026-09-07 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WLOSA Los Angeles Football, inside six months 37.8 +3.9 2026-09-07 Low & climbing
WLOS2 Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months 62.2 -3.9 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling
WMEET Meeting — Economics, inside six months 82.2 +8.7 2026-09-07 Very high & climbing, volatile
WMEE2 Meeting — Economics, inside two months 65.8 +5.4 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WMEE3 Meeting — Economics, inside two years 52.7 +3.2 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WMINN Minnesota Football, inside six months 25.6 +7.7 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WMIN2 Inverse Minnesota Football, inside six months 74.4 -7.7 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WNEWE New England Football, inside six months 33.2 +0.2 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WNEW2 Inverse New England Football, inside six months 66.8 -0.2 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WNEWY New York Football, inside six months 27.9 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WNEW3 Inverse New York Football, inside six months 72.1 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WOPEN Openai — Financials, inside six months 37.6 -2.7 2026-09-07 Low & cooling
WOPE2 Openai — Financials, inside two years 53.3 +0.2 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WPARL Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months 49.0 -2.7 2026-09-07 Moderate & cooling
WPHIL Philadelphia Football, inside six months 26.8 +4.0 2026-09-07 Low & climbing
WPHI2 Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months 73.2 -4.0 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling
WPRES President — Politics, inside six months 35.8 -0.4 2026-09-07 Low & cooling
WRATE Rate — Economics, inside six months 43.2 -13.2 2026-09-07 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WRAT2 Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months 56.8 +13.2 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WRAT3 Rate — Economics, inside two months 65.2 +4.3 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WRAT4 Rates — Economics, inside two months 66.5 +1.7 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WRELE Released — Tech Science, inside six months 48.2 2026-09-07 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WREP2 Republican — Elections, inside two years 62.9 2026-09-07 Elevated
WRESE Reserve — Economics, inside six months 58.6 +2.5 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WSANF San Francisco Football, inside six months 30.1 +3.0 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WSAN2 Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months 69.9 -3.0 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WSCOR Score — Tech Science, inside six months 27.3 -3.4 2026-09-07 Low & cooling, volatile
WSCO2 Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months 72.7 +3.4 2026-09-07 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WSEAT Seats — Elections, inside two months 57.7 -3.8 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WSEA2 Seats — Elections, inside two weeks 52.8 2026-09-07 Moderate
WSEA3 Seattle Football, inside six months 32.6 +2.1 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WSEA4 Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months 67.4 -2.1 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WTAMP Tampa Bay Football, inside six months 34.9 +12.0 2026-09-07 Low & climbing, volatile
WTAM2 Inverse Tampa Bay Football, inside six months 65.1 -12.0 2026-09-07 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WTAYL Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months 53.0 -1.0 2026-09-07 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WTRUM Trump — Politics, inside six months 27.6 2026-09-07 Low
WYORK York — Sports, inside six months 29.5 2026-09-07 Low & cooling, volatile

Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.