W.E.T. Party Politics Index 6mo
v1StandingExperimentalStandingThe §2.6 ladder refused this print at rung 2. A refusal is publishable; a carried-forward level is not — so this index shows nothing today rather than yesterday’s number wearing today’s date.
7 input(s) were quarantined by sentinel/v1 before this close and are excluded from the reading above.
- The "party" axis stops appearing in politics titles: the selector then admits fewer than 6 markets and the index prints nothing rather than a level over a roster that no longer states the thesis.
- Weight coverage falls below the declared floor of 95%, at which point the published state is insufficient_data and no value is printed — never a value carried forward from the last close that had one.
- A published axis starts framing this board. No axis frames a majority of it today (polarity frames 0 of 11, severity frames 0 of 11, threshold frames 1 of 11), and that measurement is what put this worldview on a side-symmetric lens; a composition whose sides become readable is a different index and belongs to a successor spec rather than to an edit of this one.
How this reading was constructed (7)
- no constituent was admitted at all — an empty roster is a transport failure, not a finding
- roster refused [empty-roster]: the universe admitted 1 canonical event(s) on this tape and this index's own declared eligibility ejected every one of them (minVolume 250, maxSpread 0.1, price 0.02-0.98) — by reason: below-min-volume 1. That is a statement about LIQUIDITY rather than about coverage: the board does carry this subject inside this window, and no market it carries is tradeable at the thresholds this index published. The close writes insufficient_data and no value rather than admitting a member it declared ineligible.
- universe: resolved by universe/v1 over 16530 candidate canonical event(s) from the `tape-text` source (
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}), admitting 1. Rejections by reason: keyword-miss 16504, category-not-admitted 24, horizon-outside-window 1. - universe: the declared 60–200d horizon window (axis 8) was APPLIED and removed 1 event(s) that every other selector admitted. A member resolving outside the window this index publishes is not a member of this index's horizon, whatever else it is.
- universe: 16504 event(s) missed the keyword screen on the `tape-text` source, which carries
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}and NOT the venue subtitle, tag or series the nomination pool sees. That count is the UPPER BOUND on what the richer string could have added here; it is published rather than estimated, because the tape cannot supply the text that would settle it. - eligibility: 1 of 1 admitted event(s) left the roster on the spec's own declared eligibility (minVolume 250, maxSpread 0.1, price 0.02-0.98) — by reason: below-min-volume 1. An ineligible market is out of the universe; a member the close could not price stays in it and is counted against κ.
- no published document file was found for this spec, so the byte comparison had nothing to compare against and only the recompile legs ran. The whitepaper is compiled per request by /methodology/<slug>, which is a publication lag rather than a ledger fault — but the ABSENCE is published here, because an unsupplied optional parameter is invisible on the row and that invisibility is what let this leg go unrun.
spec cddbf5b65de00cfe · methodology 6e9ec89b033274c5 · closed by standing/v1 · lifecycle experimental · class standing · no directional statement permitted from this print
no constituent was admitted at all — an empty roster is a transport failure, not a finding
11 politics markets carrying the "party" axis across gemini, polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition.
WPAR2 · at a glance
- What it is
- 11 politics markets carrying the "party" axis across gemini, polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition.
- High vs low
- Higher = the markets are more torn — prices across the composition sit closer to a coin flip. Lower = more decided, in EITHER direction: a basket priced at 5% and one priced at 95% both read low. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
- Who cares
- Anyone tracking how party is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 6 markets resolving inside 200 days.
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Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.