Readings may not describe today5 scheduled closes did not landWhy →Hide
5 behind
5 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-23 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-22. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.
Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes
WMATH
W.E.T. Math Tech Science Index 2mo
v1StandingExperimentalMonthlyNo reading published for 2026-09-22
The §2.6 ladder refused this print at rung 2. A refusal is publishable; a carried-forward level is not — so this index shows nothing today rather than yesterday’s number wearing today’s date.
Governed close level
—
no level published
Gauge
—
Divisor
—
what chains this level to the last
Closes
28
latest 2026-09-22
Coverage
15 of 16 admitted markets priced1 unpricedκ 0.9340 · floor 0.95weights two-sided-depth · cap 15.0%
Withheld by the sentinel
32 input(s) were quarantined by sentinel/v1 before this close and are excluded from the reading above.
What would make this reading wrong
- The "math" axis stops appearing in tech-science titles: the selector then admits fewer than 6 markets and the index prints nothing rather than a level over a roster that no longer states the thesis.
- Weight coverage falls below the declared floor of 95%, at which point the published state is insufficient_data and no value is printed — never a value carried forward from the last close that had one.
- A published axis starts framing this board. No axis frames a majority of it today (polarity frames 0 of 6, severity frames 0 of 6, threshold frames 0 of 6), and that measurement is what put this worldview on a side-symmetric lens; a composition whose sides become readable is a different index and belongs to a successor spec rather than to an edit of this one.
How this reading was constructed (8)
- weight coverage κ = 93.4% is below this index's floor κ_min = 95.0%
- universe: resolved by universe/v1 over 9403 candidate canonical event(s) from the `tape-text` source (
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}), admitting 81. Rejections by reason: keyword-miss 9249, horizon-outside-window 73. - universe: the declared 17–60d horizon window (axis 8) was APPLIED and removed 73 event(s) that every other selector admitted. A member resolving outside the window this index publishes is not a member of this index's horizon, whatever else it is.
- universe: 9249 event(s) missed the keyword screen on the `tape-text` source, which carries
${m.title ?? ''}${m.marketRef}and NOT the venue subtitle, tag or series the nomination pool sees. That count is the UPPER BOUND on what the richer string could have added here; it is published rather than estimated, because the tape cannot supply the text that would settle it. - eligibility: 65 of 81 admitted event(s) left the roster on the spec's own declared eligibility (minVolume 250, maxSpread 0.1, price 0.02-0.98) — by reason: price-below-floor 65. An ineligible market is out of the universe; a member the close could not price stays in it and is counted against κ.
- orientation: the declared `polarity` framing axis (§3.3) was re-read on this tape and took NO force [undetermined:coverage], framing 0 of 16 members and holding 0 of them NO. The declared polarity axis frames 0 of 16 members (0%), under the published 50% bar, so it takes no force today and no member is flipped by it. An axis that frames a corner of the board would state a direction for members it never read. This is the spec's own invalidation condition, measured rather than assumed. The axis is re-read at every close rather than frozen into a declared side table, so a roster whose contracts resolve and are replaced is oriented by the rule this spec published rather than by one evening's reading of it (cultivation-orientation/v3).
- orientation: because the declared `polarity` axis took no force today, every member not named in `sideRules.declaredSides` and not matched by a keyword list is held on the venue's own YES framing. That reads the board's LISTING CONVENTION rather than this index's thesis, and it is the state the spec's own invalidation conditions name — published here rather than left to look like a decision the axis made.
- no published document file was found for this spec, so the byte comparison had nothing to compare against and only the recompile legs ran. The whitepaper is compiled per request by /methodology/<slug>, which is a publication lag rather than a ledger fault — but the ABSENCE is published here, because an unsupplied optional parameter is invisible on the row and that invisibility is what let this leg go unrun.
spec 89aabbcfcc5a96d1 · methodology c37cea08d1fcb396 · closed by standing/v1 · lifecycle experimental · class standing · no directional statement permitted from this print
No value publishedfor 2026-09-22§2.6 rung 2
weight coverage κ = 93.4% is below this index's floor κ_min = 95.0%
6 tech-science markets carrying the "math" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition.
Contribution by category
weight share of the roster the last close weighedtech-science100% · 16
Constituents by weight
all 16 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-22) · the basket below holds a different setWMATH · at a glance
- What it is
- 6 tech-science markets carrying the "math" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition.
- High vs low
- Higher = the markets are more torn — prices across the composition sit closer to a coin flip. Lower = more decided, in EITHER direction: a basket priced at 5% and one priced at 95% both read low. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
- Who cares
- Anyone tracking how math is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 6 markets resolving inside 60 days.
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