Readings may not describe today48 scheduled closes did not landWhy →Hide
48 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-23 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-22. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.
Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes
Superseded · no longer on the board
This reading predates the desk’s current standard — it carries no compiled methodology, no inverse twin and no failure ladder. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It rejoins the board the day its methodology is compiled and ratified. See the published suite →
W.E.T. Inverse W.E.T. Fed Path Index Index 2yr
v6SlateExperimentalStandingAs of Sep 22, 2026 · last moved Sep 22, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Low support → High support)
Across the fed path universe, the prediction-market board reads on hold or tightening.
The opposing claim
the same roster, read the other way — one close, two seriesThis index is one side of a pair. The same canonical roster, consolidated once, is read against the opposite case and published as its own governed series — so the counter-argument is a number on the board, not a caveat in the prose.
Read the opposite side →Holding both sides of this argument should cost nothing — the outcomes are exhaustive. It does not. The two levels sum to 1376.05 against a combined base of 2,000, and that gap is path, spread and friction rather than a view about the world. Gauges complement exactly; levels do not, because a level remembers the route it took.
Friction gauge Φ 1.04 · complement residual 0 — the gauge identity is checked at every close and published whether or not it holds.
Key statistics
- Previous
- —
- Band
- Very high
- 24d Range
- 9095
- Percentile
- 100th
- 8d Change
- +0.6
- Volatility
- 0.7 pts/d
- Streak
- 2d up
- Markets
- 17
- Effective N
- 3.9
- Top Weight
- 35%
- Venues
- 13 K · 4 P
- Method
- v6
Daily close
24d published · interactive24 published close(s) — 0–100 (Low support → High support). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 10 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 24d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% bandModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 24 readings, slope +0.11/day, projection σ 1.0 pts/d widened for a 24-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — PremiumPremium
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — PremiumPremium
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
all 17 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-22) · the basket below holds a different setWhere these markets are covered
2 of 17 constituents have a W.E.T. pageThe odds pages covering the individual contracts this index reads. They are the evidence underneath the reading, not readings themselves.
WFEDP · at a glance
- What it is
- Across the fed path universe, the prediction-market board reads on hold or tightening.
- High vs low
- Higher = the composition is pricing more support for this thesis. Lower = less. A reading of market prices, not a W.E.T. forecast.
- Who cares
- Anyone tracking how fed-path is being priced across venues on a composition of at least 2 markets resolving inside 548.9200000000001 days.
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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Sep 22, 2026, the W.E.T. Inverse W.E.T. Fed Path Index Index 2yr (WFEDP) prints a WET Index Score of 95.1/100 (Very high), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.