Readings may not describe today48 scheduled closes did not landWhy →Hide
48 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-23 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-22. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.
Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes
Superseded · no longer on the board
This reading predates the desk’s current standard — it carries no compiled methodology, no inverse twin and no failure ladder. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It rejoins the board the day its methodology is compiled and ratified. See the published suite →
W.E.T. Earnings Beat Index
v1SlateWeeklyAs of Sep 22, 2026 · last moved Sep 22, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Misses priced → Beats priced)
How much upside the market is pricing into the current earnings board.
No return published — not one of this basket's 28 open holdings carried a mark on 2026-11-05. The level would read exactly 1000 and the return exactly 0.00%, which is what an unmoved basket and an unobserved one look like from outside. They are not the same thing, so this one says which it is.
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket performance
hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage- Basket total return
- —
- Since inception
- —
- Cost to cross
- —
- Holdings marked
- 0.0% of 28
- 1 day
- —
- 7 day
- —
- Markets held
- 28
- Settled
- 8
- Rebalanced out
- 0
- Hit rate
- 62.5% (5 of 8)
- Cash
- 60.0%
- Inception
- 2026-08-01
- Weighting
- Equal notional
- Marks
- Two-sided mid
- Days tracked
- 70
Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.
Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.
A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.
Holdings · 28 markets
held since 2026-08-01 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs- Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 96c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES96c96c−0.1%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 89c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES89c85c−4.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 94c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES94c95c+1.4%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 94c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES94c94c+0.2%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 96c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES96c94c−1.2%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 96c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES96c95c−1.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 43c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES43c44c+2.4%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 74c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES74c82c+10.9%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 50c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES50c50c0.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 92c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES92c99c+8.2%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 94c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES94c93c−1.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 87c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES87c87c0.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 89c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES89c89c0.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 87c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES87c83c−4.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 36c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES36c38c+4.2%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 13c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES13c12c−11.5%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 69c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES69c63c−8.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 88c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES88c88c0.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 84c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES84c99c+17.9%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 89c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES89c89c0.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 93c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES93c93c−0.4%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 77c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES77c88c+14.4%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 73c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES73c62c−14.5%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 61c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES61c50c−18.2%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 54c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES54c79c+47.7%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 93c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES93c93c0.0%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 59c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES59c72c+21.2%2.8%Polymarket ↗
- Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?polymarket · YES · entry 73c66 sessions stalepolymarketYES73c68c−6.2%2.8%Polymarket ↗
Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →
Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Elevated
- 25d Range
- 6578
- Percentile
- 60th
- 8d Change
- −0.8
- Volatility
- 2.3 pts/d
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 7
- Effective N
- 5.4
- Top Weight
- 20%
- Venues
- 7 K
- Method
- v1
- Basket
- 7/19
- Frozen
- 2026-09-01
- Chain
- ×0.7568
Daily close
25d published · interactive25 published close(s) — 0–100 (Misses priced → Beats priced). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 28 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.
History & 14-day projection
solid = 25d published · dashed = projected · shaded = 80% bandModel extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 25 readings, slope +0.00/day, projection σ 2.8 pts/d widened for a 25-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.
Desk read
W.E.T. analysis — PremiumPremium
The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
What moved today
attribution — PremiumPremium
Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueConstituents by weight
all 7 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-22) · the basket below holds a different setThe view this index measures
Every W.E.T. index tracks a question someone can hold a view on. This one is mapped to these 2 questions in the Worldview thesis map. Answering one places you on its continuum; this index is what that answer is measurable against.
Will US stocks fall 10% or more at some point in the next 12 months?
No — any dips stay smallYes — a 10%+ drop comesA year from now, will US stocks be higher or lower than today?
Lower than todayHigher than today
Where do you stand? The Worldview builder asks from this same set of questions and matches your answers to the W.E.T. indexes that measure them.
Turn your perspective into a portfolio →WEBI · at a glance
- What it is
- The beat gauge — how much good news is already priced into this week’s prints.
- High vs low
- Higher = the market expects beats. Lower = it expects misses.
- Who cares
- Equity desks and market reporters reading how optimistic the market is going into earnings.
Embed this score
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The index. Ready to share. Actual embed
[](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/earnings-beat)<a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/earnings-beat"><img src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/indices/earnings-beat/badge" alt="WEBI — WET Index Score" /></a><iframe src="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/embed/indices/earnings-beat" width="340" height="170" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="WEBI — WET Index Score" loading="lazy"></iframe>Quote this index
free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Sep 22, 2026, the W.E.T. Earnings Beat Index (WEBI) prints a WET Index Score of 72.4/100 (Elevated), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.