WBTP
W.E.T. Bitcoin Path Index
v18.40— Very low
As of Aug 1, 2026 · last moved Aug 1, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Doubted → Priced in)
How richly the market prices Bitcoin upside targets.
View the basket — the real markets + combined performance →Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Very low
- 1d Range
- building
- Percentile
- —
- 7d Change
- —
- Volatility
- —
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 23
- Effective N
- 5.9
- Top Weight
- 25%
- Volume
- $12.5M
- Venues
- 2 K · 20 P · 1 G
- Method
- v1
- Basket
- 23/23
- Frozen
- 2026-08-01
History & 14-day projection
projection builds with historyProjection begins once 7 daily readings are in (1/7 so far).
Desk read
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The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
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What moved today
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Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
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Contribution by category
weight share of today's valuecrypto100% · 23
Constituents by weight
colored by category · every input auditable on its venueWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?6% · 25.0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?3% · 25.0%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?5% · 14.4%
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? — Above $99,999.9913% · 11.7%
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?4% · 8.8%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?27% · 4.0%
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?3% · 1.8%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?4% · 1.8%
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?69% · 1.7%
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 202714% · 1.6%
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?20% · 1.3%
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?8% · 0.6%
WBTP · at a glance
- What it is
- The BTC upside gauge — how richly the market prices the next leg up.
- High vs low
- Higher = upside targets richly priced. Lower = the market doubts the next leg.
- Who cares
- Crypto desks and reporters who want a single read on how bullish BTC positioning is.
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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Aug 1, 2026, the W.E.T. Bitcoin Path Index (WBTP) prints a WET Index Score of 8.4/100 (Very low), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.