Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.
The Market Read
Manifold prices “Daily Coinflip” at 50.5% — a coin flip.
1.2K venue units in venue-reported volume. One venue-attributed observation; no cross-market aggregate.
Scanning the wire…
Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.
Stored reads · labeled by measure
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
Showing the available venue listings. Additional venue coverage could not be verified yet.
Stored reads · labeled by measure
Refused · no-key-match
no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent
Measured 2026-11-10 06:46 UTC: one listing key checked against 1200 keyed constituent refs
Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt
Refused · not-configured
The research engine has not been activated.
Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised
As-of time not recorded · unknown
Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row
Refused · no-source
no stored capture for this event yet
Measured 2026-11-10 14:03 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for manifold:LdlLtyz88S since 2026-11-03
Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)
Refused · no-source
Manifold publishes no rules text through WET's feed
Measured 2026-11-10 14:03 UTC: one listing read; none carries settlement wording
Retires when the venue feed carries rules text for this listing (only Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, Futuur and Polymarket US populate it today)