WeatherOct 1

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

In Sep 2026

Evidence & research ↓

Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.

The Market Read

7 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets7Kalshi volume8.5K contractsEvent venuesKalshi

Driving Coverage

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Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Above 2 inches

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC·2.5K contracts vol

Above 1 inch

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC·2.3K contracts vol

Above 3 inches

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC·2.3K contracts vol

Above 4 inches

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC·1.1K contracts vol

Above 5 inches

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC·252 contracts vol

Above 6 inches

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC·140 contracts vol

Above 7 inches

Rain in Austin in Sep 2026?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC·Volume unavailable

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.

Evidence

Stored reads · labeled by measure

WET Index relationship

Market

Refused · no-key-match

no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-20 20:25 UTC: 7 listing keys checked against 1501 keyed constituent refs

Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt

Anchor research

Research

Refused · not-configured

The research engine has not been activated.

Availability details

Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised

Weather — official station context

Data

Refused · no-key-match

Select a verified listing with its explicit station association, local contract day and retained native source rules.

Availability details

Retires when A selected verified listing has a source-backed station key and a readable, pinned station collection.

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Dataexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

2026-10-01 03:59 UTCKalshi contracts closevenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Market

Refused · no-source

no stored capture for this event yet

Availability details

Measured 2026-09-21 00:03 UTC: no odds-single-listing/v3 rows for kalshi:KXRAINAUSM-26SEP since 2026-09-14

Retires when the odds capture writes a row for this event (it covers the live markets directory only, change-gated hourly)

Official — venue settlement rules

Officialexact basis

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Kalshi: If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Sep 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding TWC Report (Daily).
Recognized settlement source: not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)
Venue listing: View on Kalshi
Settlement rules · Kalshi: If the total precipitation at CLIAUS in Austin in Sep 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding TWC Report (Daily).

ActionsNo venue-native listing on this page to request research on