EntertainmentFeb 8

Grammy Winner: Best New Artist

In 2027

Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.

The Market Read

67 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Kalshi markets67Kalshi volume103.4K contractsEvent venuesKalshiKalshichecking coverage…

Driving Coverage

Open the Newsroom →

How a Grammy Rule Change Gave 5 Artists Another Chance at a 2027 Best New Artist Nomination — UPDATE

billboard.com · 105d ago

WELL DESERVED ✨ Sienna Spiro takes home the Best New Artist award at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards in Los Angeles, California. (Photos/Reuters)

facebook.com · 1d ago

Grammy Awards Announce Big Changes to Best New Artist and Album Rules, and Add Five New Categories

Variety · 105d ago

Actually, Zara Larsson Isn’t Eligible For Best New Artist. She’s Already a Grammy Nominee

Rolling Stone · 33d ago

Who Should Be Nominated at the 2027 Grammy Awards

Pitchfork · 11d ago

The complete list of 2026 Grammy winners and nominees

Colorado Public Radio · 236d ago

GRAMMY®, MULTI-BRIT & MOBO AWARD-WINNER AND TWO-TIME MERCURY PRIZE NOMINEE OLIVIA DEAN CELEBRATES ONE YEAR OF RECORD-BREAKING #1 SELLING, AND DOUBLE PLATINUM CERTIFIED SOPHOMORE ALBUM THE ART OF

universalmusic.ca · 4d ago

Grammy Awards Make Changes To Best New Artist Rules & Add Five New Categories

Deadline · 105d ago

Scanning the wire…

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Outcomes

156Kalshi

Ella Langley

2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·15.8K contracts vol

Yes 93%No 7%

SIENNA SPIRO

2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·11.5K contracts vol

Yes 90%No 10%

Ella Langley

Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·11.3K contracts vol

Yes 64%No 36%

SIENNA SPIRO

Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·11K contracts vol

Yes 30%No 70%

Dandelion

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·10.5K contracts vol

Yes 60%No 40%

Arirang

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·7.7K contracts vol

Yes 8%No 92%

Adéla

Will Adéla win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·7.1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

The Great Divide

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·5.9K contracts vol

Yes 69%No 31%

Geese

Will Geese win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·5.6K contracts vol

Yes 2%No 98%

Geese

2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·5.3K contracts vol

Yes 78%No 22%

ICEMAN

2026 Grammy nominees for Best Rap Album?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.9K contracts vol

Yes 29%No 71%

Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.3K contracts vol

Yes 54%No 46%

The Life of a Showgirl

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.1K contracts vol

Yes 51%No 49%

Lost Weekend

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4K contracts vol

Yes 67%No 33%

Megan Moroney

Will Megan Moroney win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.9K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Lux

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.6K contracts vol

Yes 71%No 29%

Slayyyter

Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.6K contracts vol

Yes 4%No 96%

Iceman

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.3K contracts vol

Yes 10%No 90%

Bella Kay

Will Bella Kay win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.5K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Renee Rapp

Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.4K contracts vol

Yes 4%No 96%

Album of the Year

16Kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·15.4K contracts vol

Yes 52%No 48%

The Art of Loving

Will The Art of Loving win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·8.5K contracts vol

Yes 23%No 77%

Lux

Will Lux win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·6.1K contracts vol

Yes 12%No 88%

The Great Divide

Will The Great Divide win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·5K contracts vol

Yes 7%No 93%

Dandelion

Will Dandelion win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4.5K contracts vol

Yes 5%No 95%

Confessions II

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·4K contracts vol

Yes 31%No 69%

petal

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.5K contracts vol

Yes 44%No 56%

The Life of a Showgirl

Will The Life of a Showgirl win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.9K contracts vol

Yes 5%No 95%

Lost Weekend

Will Lost Weekend win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.2K contracts vol

Yes 3%No 97%

The Romantics

Will The Romantics win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

The Romantic

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.7K contracts vol

Yes 83%No 17%

Arirang

Will Arirang win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.5K contracts vol

Yes 3%No 97%

Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

Will Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.4K contracts vol

Yes 2%No 98%

ICEMAN

Will ICEMAN win Album of the Year at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1K contracts vol

Yes 4%No 96%

Octane

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·549 contracts vol

Yes 25%No 75%

West End Girl

2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·371 contracts vol

Yes 11%No 89%

Song of the Year

11Kalshi

the cure

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.8K contracts vol

Yes 95%No 5%

Choosin' Texas

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.8K contracts vol

Yes 92%No 8%

WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.6K contracts vol

Yes 68%No 32%

The Fate of Ophelia

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.4K contracts vol

Yes 20%No 80%

Aperture

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.2K contracts vol

Yes 35%No 65%

I Knew It, I Knew You

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.2K contracts vol

Yes 43%No 57%

I Just Might

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2K contracts vol

Yes 57%No 43%

drop dead

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·825 contracts vol

Yes 75%No 25%

Man I Need

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·812 contracts vol

Yes 89%No 11%

hate that i made you love me

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·738 contracts vol

Yes 57%No 43%

So Easy (To Fall In Love)

2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·491 contracts vol

Yes 19%No 81%

Record of the Year

7Kalshi

Man I Need

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·5.8K contracts vol

Yes 88%No 12%

Choosin' Texas

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.5K contracts vol

Yes 76%No 24%

Aperture

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.5K contracts vol

Yes 35%No 65%

The Fate of Ophelia

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1K contracts vol

Yes 82%No 18%

So Easy (To Fall In Love)

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·825 contracts vol

Yes 17%No 83%

WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·683 contracts vol

Yes 72%No 28%

I Just Might

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·482 contracts vol

Yes 89%No 11%

Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.

Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Ella Langley

Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·11.3K contracts vol

Yes 64%No 36%

SIENNA SPIRO

Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·11K contracts vol

Yes 30%No 70%

Adéla

Will Adéla win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·7.1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Geese

Will Geese win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·5.6K contracts vol

Yes 2%No 98%

Megan Moroney

Will Megan Moroney win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.9K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Slayyyter

Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·3.6K contracts vol

Yes 4%No 96%

Bella Kay

Will Bella Kay win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.5K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Renee Rapp

Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.4K contracts vol

Yes 4%No 96%

Dijon

Will Dijon win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.4K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Celeste

Will Celeste win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2.1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Cleo Sol

Will Cleo Sol win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2K contracts vol

Yes 4%No 96%

Absolutely

Will Absolutely win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·2K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

BigXthaPlug

Will BigXthaPlug win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1.1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Annahstasia

Will Annahstasia win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·1K contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

The Beaches

Will The Beaches win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·995 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

CMAT

Will CMAT win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·972 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Danny L Harle

Will Danny L Harle win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·972 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

H33RA

Will H33RA win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·972 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Josh Levi

Will Josh Levi win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·972 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Ms Banks

Will Ms Banks win Best New Artist at the Grammys?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:29 UTC·972 contracts vol

Yes 1%No 99%

Grammy Winner: Best New Artist

Driving Coverage

Markets on this event

Outcomes

Album of the Year

Song of the Year

Record of the Year

Markets on this event

Evidence

WET Index relationship

Anchor research

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Official — venue settlement rules

Evidence

Markets on this event

Outcomes

Album of the Year

Song of the Year

Record of the Year

Evidence

WET Index relationship

Anchor research

Catalyst calendar — sourced dates only (venue close, event identity, stored schedules)

Market history — WET's own lead-listing capture (integer YES points, change-gated, directory-only, thirty-day retention), not a venue tape

Official — venue settlement rules