WeatherEnded · awaiting settlement7 of 7 settledEnded · 10h ago

What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 6, 2026?

Worldwide on Sep 6, 2026

The Market Read

7 venue-attributed listings map to this real-world event.

No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.

Markets7Volume3K contractsSelected venueKalshi

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Markets on this event

Venue-attributed quotes · open listing details

Magnitude of at least 5.8

FinalKalshi·Observed 2026-09-07 09:56 UTC·998.51 contracts vol

Yes 12%No 88%

Magnitude of at least 7.0

FinalKalshi·Observed 2026-09-07 09:56 UTC·643.96 contracts vol

Yes 21%No 79%

Magnitude of at least 6.4

FinalKalshi·Observed 2026-09-07 09:56 UTC·475.83 contracts vol

Yes 7%No 93%

Magnitude of at least 6.2

FinalKalshi·Observed 2026-09-07 09:56 UTC·346.7 contracts vol

Yes 6%No 94%

Magnitude of at least 6.6

FinalKalshi·Observed 2026-09-07 09:56 UTC·199.14 contracts vol

Yes 68%No 32%

Magnitude of at least 6.8

FinalKalshi·Observed 2026-09-07 09:56 UTC·186.04 contracts vol

Yes 36%No 64%

Magnitude of at least 6.0

FinalKalshi·Observed 2026-09-07 09:56 UTC·162.62 contracts vol

Yes 22%No 78%

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