Sports4:00 PM
Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe
Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.
The Market Read
24 venue-attributed listings map to this real-world event.
No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.
Driving Coverage
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Markets on this event
Venue-attributed quotes · open listing detailsMoneyline
2Spreads
5Daniil Medvedev wins by over 1.5 sets
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·37.19 contracts vol
Yes 44%No 56%
Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·36.02 contracts vol
Yes 54%No 46%
Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·Volume unavailable
Yes 40%No 60%
Frances Tiafoe -1.5 games
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·Volume unavailable
Yes 36%No 64%
Frances Tiafoe wins by over 1.5 sets
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·Volume unavailable
Yes 26%No 74%
Totals
5Over 38.5 games
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·957.33 contracts vol
Over 53%Under 47%
Over 33.5 games
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·22 contracts vol
Over 69%Under 31%
Over 4.5 sets
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·14.91 contracts vol
Over 32%Under 68%
Over 3.5 sets
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·Volume unavailable
Over 65%Under 35%
Over 43.5 games
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·Volume unavailable
Over 33%Under 67%
Exact Match Score
6Frances Tiafoe wins 3-0
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·1.3K contracts vol
Yes 3%No 97%
Frances Tiafoe wins 3-2
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·379.64 contracts vol
Yes 14%No 86%
Daniil Medvedev wins 3-0
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·370.81 contracts vol
Yes 21%No 79%
Daniil Medvedev wins 3-1
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·175.24 contracts vol
Yes 22%No 78%
Daniil Medvedev wins 3-2
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·45.88 contracts vol
Yes 16%No 84%
Frances Tiafoe wins 3-1
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-06 05:42 UTC·14 contracts vol
Yes 15%No 85%
Set 1 Winner
2Set 2 Winner
2Open venue listings
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