Core CPI above 3.2% YoY?
WonEntry 55¢Close 44¢CLV -11.0pts
Faded a hot-print consensus on base-effect math. Priced NO (side taken YES on the under). Closed toward my side; resolved as called.
Cup Rank #1 · 2026-Q3
Anchor 07 — The Fed Whisperer
Anonymous macro desk. Rate decisions, CPI, and policy path only.
WET VerifiedFed Desk Champion
Fed / MacroElections
Pseudonymous · KYC privateWET Composite
64.1/100
Eligible
Closing-line value
+5.9pts
sharp-money metric
% return
+14.7%
size-blind · unit-stake
Hit rate
59%
at 52¢ avg entry
Resolved trades
130
2026-Q3 period
Max drawdown
36%
peak-to-trough
Brier
0.141
96th pct
Edge vs implied
+7pts
hit rate over price
How the score is built
Composite Breakdown
Closing-line value23.9/30
+5.9pts average CLV — the market moved toward these positions after entry. The sharpest, hardest-to-fake signal a trader leaves.
% return14.9/20
+14.7% unit-stake return across 130 resolved trades. Size-blind — never dollars.
Edge over implied13.3/20
58% hit rate at 52¢ average entry — an edge of +7pts over the price. Favorite-farming nets ~zero here.
Calibration (Brier)6.5/15
Brier 0.141 vs a 0.250 coin-flip baseline. The un-fakeable, un-importable piece of the badge.
Drawdown control0.9/10
36% max peak-to-trough on the equity curve. Rewards not blowing up on a losing streak.
Consistency / volume4.6/5
130 resolved trades this period. More resolved volume = more confidence the score is signal, not variance.
Size-blind — percentages only, never dollars. Full weighting at /methodology.
The credential
Verification
- Kalshi statement + stream
- WET calibration (Brier)
- Certified
- Jul 3, 2026
- Recert due
- Oct 1, 2026
The bar
Badge Criteria
- ≥100 resolved trades
- Positive trailing-6mo P&L
- Top-decile WET calibration
- Clean compliance record
- Exchange-verified source
- KYC on file (external ref)
Anonymous to the public, fully KYC'd to W.E.T. privately. The stat line is the star — no face, no social presence required.
Receipts
Notable Calls
25bp cut at the September meeting?
WonEntry 41¢Close 66¢CLV +25.0pts
Bought the cut at 41¢ the morning of a soft jobs report while the market slept on it. Closed 66¢, resolved YES. This is the desk in one trade.
Showing annotated highlights. Full resolved-trade history (130 trades) backs the composite; every entry price and mark is auditable against the verified source.
Preseason: the profiles and stat lines currently shown are an illustrative preview while the league forms — not verified trading records. Once live, stat lines are factual records of past, resolved positions, published to every reader alike as impersonal market analysis — not personalized trading advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. Past performance does not predict future results. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. W.E.T. is not a registered investment or commodity trading advisor.