financesCross-Listed

Will a US regional bank with over $10B assets fail in 2026?

$1.6M volume· Resolves Dec 31· Odds refresh every 8s

Yes18%No82%

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Community Read

— yes · 0 votes

WET InsightData-driven

Market backs No at 82% — a heavy favorite.

Odds are steady across the visible window — no fresh catalyst priced in.
Venues disagree by 4 pts — Polymarket 22% vs Kalshi 18%; the gap is the cross-arena edge.
Deep book · 161 days to resolution.

WET Odds

Venue-neutral · aggregated

Yes

20%

·

No

80%

Kalshi18%$890K Polymarket22%$670K

Divergence4 pts — venues disagree

Volume-weighted across both venues — our aggregate read, objective wherever you trade.

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