WorldAug 31

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

The Market Read

“December 31” leads at 32% — a clear leader.

6 outcomes · $8.2M total volume · next: “September 30” at 16%.

Markets6Volume$11.3MVenuePolymarket

Driving Coverage

Open the Newsroom →

What’s Left of the Cease-Fire Agreement Between the U.S. and Iran?

The New York Times · 3d ago

What's going on with the US-Saudi nuclear deal?

BBC · 5d ago

Trump’s Iran Deal Has Collapsed, Leaving the U.S. With Few Good Options

Council on Foreign Relations · 15d ago

Trump Administration Increasingly Pessimistic of Clinching Iran Nuclear Deal

WSJ · 18d ago

Fighting Mars U.S.-Iranian Pledges to End War, Restart Nuclear Talks

Arms Control Association · 8d ago

Regional mediators scramble to prevent U.S.-Iran deal from collapsing

Axios · 18d ago

Why Comparing the 2015 Nuclear Deal to Trump’s Memorandum is Not Useful

International Crisis Group · 21d ago

U.S. and Iran exchange intensifying fire across Mideast, threatening ceasefire deal

NPR · 18d ago

Scanning the wire…

Markets on this event

WET odds · tap for Kalshi & Polymarket

August 31

$2.9M vol

Yes 7%No 93%

August 18

$1.8M vol

Yes 5%No 95%

July 31

$1.3M vol

Yes 1%No 99%

December 31

$820K vol

Yes 32%No 68%

September 30

$699.4K vol

Yes 16%No 84%

August 13

$649.9K vol

Yes 2%No 98%

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