WeatherAug 17

Jul 2026 temperature increase?

In Jul 2026

The Market Read

“1.10 to 1.16” leads at 47% — a tight race.

6 outcomes · $0 total volume · next: “1.17 to 1.23” at 41%.

Markets6Volume$0VenueKalshi

Driving Coverage

Open the Newsroom →

Even camels can't cope: Africa's ships of the desert hit by rising temperatures

BBC · 3h ago

Historic El Niño able to supercharge extreme weather looks increasingly likely – researchers

The Guardian · 14d ago

El Niño is forecast to intensify, increasing likelihood of extreme weather

World Meteorological Organization WMO · 20d ago

July 4th: The Hottest Month Is Getting Hotter After 250 Years of Climate Change

Climate Central · 22d ago

This new El Niño is different

RealClimate · 15d ago

Fossil Fuels Are Heating America’s 250th Birthday

World Weather Attribution · 20d ago

El Niño forecast to intensify, increasing likelihood of extreme weather

UN News · 20d ago

July keeps trending hotter for Middle Tennessee

WSMV · 16d ago

Scanning the wire…

Markets on this event

WET odds · tap for Kalshi & Polymarket

1.02999 or below

Tap for full odds

Yes 1%No 99%

1.04 to 1.09

Tap for full odds

Yes 3%No 97%

1.10 to 1.16

Tap for full odds

Yes 47%No 53%

1.17 to 1.23

Tap for full odds

Yes 41%No 59%

1.24 to 1.30

Tap for full odds

Yes 6%No 94%

1.30001 or above

Tap for full odds

Yes 1%No 99%

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