# W.E.T. World Event Trading > Independent prediction-market index, data and media service — governed WET Indexes plus neutral event navigation across enabled venue feeds. W.E.T. (World Event Trading) is an independent index, product, data, and media company built on prediction markets. Section 5c(c) of the Commodity Exchange Act lets each regulated venue self-certify its own event contracts, so related real-world events can trade in isolated silos under different rules. W.E.T. is building the canonical event graph that maps events to venue-attributed listings, designs cross-venue indexes that turn related markets into measurable views of the future, turns each user's selected indexes into a Worldview Portfolio they can track, and builds the longitudinal dataset of how those worldviews perform as outcomes arrive — publishing evidence (news, catalysts, crowd sentiment) beside prices. The index is the story; individual markets are evidence. W.E.T. does not operate an exchange, make markets, or handle order flow, and venue coverage never receives commercial preference. ## Indices — Cross-Venue Benchmarks (the flagship) W.E.T. publishes methodology-governed benchmarks for the event-contract economy. Every published benchmark value, constituent list, intraday indicative, and settlement row is available without authentication and may be quoted with the required attribution: "Per the W.E.T. Geopolitical Risk Index (WETGRI), W.E.T. World Event Trading." Planned professional licences may cover commercial and redistribution rights, support and SLAs, delivery-latency guarantees, bulk service, and settlement-reference status by agreement; they are not purchasable today and never control access to a benchmark number. - [Index desk](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices): the full board — every published W.E.T. index with its daily close, drivers and methodology ### Governed benchmarks (settled daily, free API) - [W.E.T. Geopolitical Risk Index (WETGRI)](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/wetgri): A severity-weighted, cross-venue benchmark of the adverse geopolitical outcomes prediction markets are pricing. Settled daily; every published value, settlement row, and constituent list is free to quote with attribution; JSON at https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/public/v1/indices/wetgri - [W.E.T. Fed Path Index (WETFED)](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/wetfed): The constant-horizon policy-rate expectation implied by Fed-meeting contracts, in basis points. Settled daily; every published value, settlement row, and constituent list is free to quote with attribution; JSON at https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/public/v1/indices/wetfed - [World Event Uncertainty Index (WETX)](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/wetx): How uncertain the world is right now, priced — entropy across every category the desk watches. Settled daily; every published value, settlement row, and constituent list is free to quote with attribution; JSON at https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/public/v1/indices/wetx - [W.E.T. Fragmentation Index (WETFRAG)](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/wetfrag): How far apart the venues are on the same question — the 5c(c) problem, indexed. Settled daily; every published value, settlement row, and constituent list is free to quote with attribution; JSON at https://www.worldeventtrading.com/api/public/v1/indices/wetfrag ### World-events indexes - [W.E.T. AI Race Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/ai-race): How fast the prediction market is pricing near-term frontier-AI milestones. - [W.E.T. Climate & Disaster Risk Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/climate-risk): How much extreme-weather / disaster risk the market is pricing this season. - [W.E.T. Political Turmoil Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/political-turmoil): How much political instability (resignations, shutdowns, ousters) the market is pricing. - [W.E.T. Flashpoint Watch Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/flashpoint-watch): How much near-term escalation risk the live flashpoints are pricing. - [W.E.T. Awards Race Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/awards-race): How wide-open the awards races are on a season-long clock. - [W.E.T. Achieved Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/achieved-tech-science-inside-six-months): 34 tech-science markets carrying the "achieved" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Achieved Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/achieved-tech-science-inside-six-months-inverse): The same 9 tech-science markets carrying the "achieved" axis across polymarket, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. Album Culture Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/album-culture-inside-six-months): 27 culture markets carrying the "album" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Artist Culture Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/artist-culture-inside-six-months): 18 culture markets carrying the "artist" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Capture Politics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/capture-politics-inside-six-months): 16 politics markets carrying the "capture" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Code Arena Tech Science Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/code-arena-tech-science-inside-two-months): 30 tech-science markets carrying the "code arena" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Country Politics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/country-politics-inside-six-months): 10 politics markets carrying the "country" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Democratic Elections Index 2yr](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/democratic-elections-inside-two-years): 35 elections markets carrying the "democratic" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside two years, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Election Politics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/election-politics-inside-six-months): 36 politics markets carrying the "election" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Election Politics Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/election-politics-inside-two-months): 48 politics markets carrying the "election" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Google Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/google-tech-science-inside-six-months): 10 tech-science markets carrying the "google" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Governor Elections Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/governor-elections-inside-six-months): 20 elections markets carrying the "governor" axis across gemini, polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Higher Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/higher-tech-science-inside-six-months): 46 tech-science markets carrying the "higher" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Higher Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/higher-tech-science-inside-six-months-inverse): The same 17 tech-science markets carrying the "higher" axis across polymarket, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. House Elections Index 2yr](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/house-elections-inside-two-years): 15 elections markets carrying the "house" axis across kalshi, every one resolving inside two years, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Math Tech Science Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/math-tech-science-inside-two-months): 6 tech-science markets carrying the "math" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Midterm Elections Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/midterm-elections-inside-six-months): 47 elections markets carrying the "midterm" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Parliamentary Elections Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/parliamentary-elections-inside-two-months): 6 elections markets carrying the "parliamentary" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Party Politics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/party-politics-inside-six-months): 11 politics markets carrying the "party" axis across gemini, polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. President Politics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/president-politics-inside-six-months): 11 politics markets carrying the "president" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Race Elections Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/race-elections-inside-six-months): 13 elections markets carrying the "race" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Released Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/released-tech-science-inside-six-months): 12 tech-science markets carrying the "released" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Republican Elections Index 2w](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/republican-elections-inside-two-weeks): 8 elections markets carrying the "republican" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two weeks, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Republican Elections Index 2yr](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/republican-elections-inside-two-years): 12 elections markets carrying the "republican" axis across kalshi, every one resolving inside two years, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Score Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/score-tech-science-inside-six-months): 68 tech-science markets carrying the "score" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Score Tech Science Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/score-tech-science-inside-six-months-inverse): The same 13 tech-science markets carrying the "score" axis across polymarket, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. Seats Elections Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/seats-elections-inside-two-months): 36 elections markets carrying the "seats" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Seats Elections Index 2w](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/seats-elections-inside-two-weeks): 36 elections markets carrying the "seats" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two weeks, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Senate Elections Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/senate-elections-inside-six-months): 10 elections markets carrying the "senate" axis across gemini, polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Senate Politics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/senate-politics-inside-six-months): 20 politics markets carrying the "senate" axis across gemini, polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Taylor Swift Culture Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/taylor-swift-culture-inside-six-months): 10 culture markets carrying the "taylor swift" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Trump Politics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/trump-politics-inside-six-months): 115 politics markets carrying the "trump" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. ### Financial indexes - [W.E.T. Crypto Greed & Fear Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/crypto-greed): How greedy vs fearful crypto positioning is, read from priced upside vs downside. - [W.E.T. Commodity Stress Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/commodity-stress): How much commodity price-spike stress (oil, gas, metals) the market is pricing. - [W.E.T. Global Easing Index](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/global-easing): How much easing the market is pricing across the world’s central banks. - [W.E.T. Anthropic Financials Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/anthropic-financials-inside-six-months): 20 financials markets carrying the "anthropic" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Bank Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/bank-economics-inside-six-months): 7 economics markets carrying the "bank" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Federal Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/federal-economics-inside-six-months): 31 economics markets carrying the "federal" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Hike Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/hike-economics-inside-six-months): 20 economics markets carrying the "hike" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Hike Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/hike-economics-inside-six-months-inverse): The same 8 economics markets carrying the "hike" axis across polymarket, kalshi, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. Increase Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/increase-economics-inside-six-months): 9 economics markets carrying the "increase" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Increase Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/increase-economics-inside-six-months-inverse): The same 10 economics markets carrying the "increase" axis across polymarket, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. Increase Economics Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/increase-economics-inside-two-months): 12 economics markets carrying the "increase" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Increase Economics Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/increase-economics-inside-two-months-inverse): The same 8 economics markets carrying the "increase" axis across polymarket, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. Increases Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/increases-economics-inside-six-months): 6 economics markets carrying the "increases" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Increases Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/increases-economics-inside-six-months-inverse): The same 6 economics markets carrying the "increases" axis across polymarket, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. Interest Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/interest-economics-inside-six-months): 10 economics markets carrying the "interest" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Interest Economics Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/interest-economics-inside-two-months): 23 economics markets carrying the "interest" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Meeting Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/meeting-economics-inside-six-months): 24 economics markets carrying the "meeting" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Meeting Economics Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/meeting-economics-inside-two-months): 33 economics markets carrying the "meeting" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Meeting Economics Index 2yr](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/meeting-economics-inside-two-years): 10 economics markets carrying the "meeting" axis across kalshi, every one resolving inside two years, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Openai Financials Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/openai-financials-inside-six-months): 21 financials markets carrying the "openai" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Openai Financials Index 2yr](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/openai-financials-inside-two-years): 9 financials markets carrying the "openai" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two years, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Ornn Financials Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/ornn-financials-inside-two-months): 10 financials markets carrying the "ornn" axis across polymarket, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Rate Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/rate-economics-inside-six-months): 61 economics markets carrying the "rate" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Inverse Rate Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/rate-economics-inside-six-months-inverse): The same 20 economics markets carrying the "rate" axis across polymarket, kalshi, read on the down case of the threshold axis rather than the up case. - [W.E.T. Rate Economics Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/rate-economics-inside-two-months): 63 economics markets carrying the "rate" axis across polymarket, kalshi, gemini, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Rates Economics Index 2mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/rates-economics-inside-two-months): 21 economics markets carrying the "rates" axis across polymarket, kalshi, every one resolving inside two months, tracked as one composition. - [W.E.T. Reserve Economics Index 6mo](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/reserve-economics-inside-six-months): 11 economics markets carrying the "reserve" axis across kalshi, polymarket, every one resolving inside six months, tracked as one composition. Sports indexes: 56 more are published and listed on the index desk above. W.E.T.'s editorial focus is the non-sports side of prediction markets; sports is covered opportunistically at mega-events and is not the headline of this desk. - [My Worldview](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/worldview): personalized dashboard mapping plain-language beliefs about the future to W.E.T. indexes — with supporting and contradicting evidence side by side - [Index performance](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/performance): the tracked record of W.E.T. index baskets — hypothetical levels and total-return since inception; governed benchmark closes are published on each benchmark page - [Accuracy scorecard](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/scorecard): the public calibration ledger for the contract prices on W.E.T.'s daily mark tape, scored against venue outcomes - [Index report](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/report): the dated written read on what moved the benchmarks - [Implied desk](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/indices/implied): implied probabilities behind the index constituents - [Cross-venue standardization](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/standardization): how venue listings map to canonical events, how related listings remain separate, and when governed index calculations may consolidate confirmed same-outcome observations - [Methodology](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/methodology): how every index is computed, rebalanced, and settled — the citable source - [Index governance](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/governance): conflicts policy, methodology-change policy, restatement policy, cessation policy, and the data licence that governs quoting index values - [Developer API](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/developers): the public benchmark API — published values remain keyless with attribution ## Core Pages - [MCP launch status](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/mcp): MCP access and installation are temporarily unavailable while source-rights and compliance clearances are completed; do not connect or install it yet - [Prediction market screener](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/market-screener): screen live markets across every venue W.E.T. reads by implied probability, volume, category, venue coverage, catalyst, title or close time; saved scanners raise an alert when a condition turns true - [Products & access tiers](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/products): what is free, what a key raises, and what a subscription adds — benchmark values are never behind a key - [Worldview Dashboard](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/worldview): your worldview as a portfolio of published W.E.T. indices — built from the seven-thesis Worldview Builder on the homepage; the platform's second dashboard alongside the World Event Dashboard (public beta — open, one email signs in) - [Event Navigator](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/event-dashboard): real-world events first, with venue-attributed listings, odds, volume, catalysts, and explicit freshness and availability; numerical comparisons require confirmed canonical identity - [Venue ecosystem](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/ecosystem): every prediction-market venue W.E.T. tracks — regulated event-contract exchanges, on-chain markets and sportsbook venues — with the verified status of W.E.T.'s data connection to each - [Prediction market news](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/news): market-native news wire connecting headlines to the markets they move - [Trading news framework](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trading-news): what moved, what repriced, what comes next, what is the risk - [Prediction markets guide](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/prediction-markets): pillar guide to how prediction markets work - [Crypto prediction markets](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/crypto-prediction-markets): ETF flows, regulation, macro liquidity, market structure - [Predictions](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions): per-event prediction market odds and previews — implied probability plus separate venue-attributed listings - [2026 Midterm election odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/midterms): dated observations for the Senate, House, and governor markets present in the published corpus; coverage is stated on the page and is not exhaustive - [Big Event Desk](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers): the arena hub — one permanent tracker per major world event, from months out through settlement - [Kalshi vs Polymarket](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/kalshi-vs-polymarket): how the venues differ and why W.E.T. withholds numerical gaps until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed - [Weather desk](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/weather): temperature, hurricane, and severe-weather markets on a zoomable world map - [Methodology](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/methodology): how W.E.T. computes implied probability, gates cross-venue comparisons on identity, and grades signal quality — the citable source page - [Settled markets archive](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/archive): final pre-close observations for published settled markets — a dated record of what those captured listings implied - [Prediction market calculators](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/tools): implied-probability/odds converter, fee-adjusted breakeven, and manual YES/NO ask comparison — research tools that do not execute orders - [Embeddable odds widgets](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/widgets): free, dated prediction-market snapshot widgets for available published observations; each card states its as-of date and attributed venue; oEmbed supported - [Blog](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog): education, platform comparisons, strategy, and accuracy research - [Community](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/community): community access and published crowd-versus-market sentiment where observations are available - [About](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/about): what W.E.T. is and how the editorial model works - [FAQ](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/faq): common prediction market questions answered directly - [Disclaimer](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/disclaimer) ## Big Event Arenas — Permanent Event Trackers Each registered arena is a durable page for a selected major world event. It organizes the venue-attributed observations present in W.E.T.'s dated corpus, keeps related listings separate unless identity is confirmed, and states its own coverage and lifecycle. An arena may be partial or empty when no qualifying observation is available. - [World Cup 2026 odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/world-cup-2026): A dated record of retained winner, award, and knockout observations from the 2026 tournament. Event: July 19, 2026. - [Brazil Presidential Election odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/brazil-election-2026): First-round, runoff, and margin observations attributed to listings retained in W.E.T.’s corpus. Event: October 4, 2026. - [World Series 2026 odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/world-series-2026): The World Series winner and AL/NL pennant path, admitted by explicit 2026 event identity. Event: late October 2026. - [2026 Midterms odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/midterms): Tracked Senate, House, and governor markets in W.E.T.’s dated snapshots through Election Day. Event: November 3, 2026. - [Super Bowl LXI odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/super-bowl-lxi): Super Bowl and pro-football champion snapshots appear only when an identified listing is retained. Event: February 2027. - [Oscars 2027 odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/oscars-2027): Retained Best Picture and Academy Award listing snapshots, each dated and venue-attributed. Event: March 2027. - [March Madness 2027 odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/march-madness-2027): Bracket and championship snapshots appear when identified tournament listings enter the corpus. Event: April 2027. - [The Masters 2027 odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/masters-2027): Masters-specific green-jacket snapshots; other PGA Tour events do not enter this arena. Event: April 2027. - [NBA Finals 2027 odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/trackers/nba-finals-2027): NBA Finals and pro-basketball champion snapshots, admitted by explicit event identity. Event: June 2027. ## Blog — Prediction Market Education - [Are Prediction Markets Accurate? Evidence vs. Polls](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog/are-prediction-markets-accurate): A balanced look at prediction market accuracy: why traded odds often beat polls, what IEM research shows, and the failure modes that distort prices. - [Best Prediction Market Platforms: Kalshi, Polymarket & Beyond](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog/best-prediction-market-platforms): How Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx, PredictIt, Manifold, and Metaculus compare on regulation, funding rails, liquidity, and fees — no hype, just trade-offs. - [How Prediction Market Odds Work: Reading Prices as Probabilities](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog/how-prediction-market-odds-work): Prediction market prices are implied probabilities. See how YES/NO contracts settle at $1, how order books set odds, and how spreads compare to vig. - [Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Should You Use?](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog/kalshi-vs-polymarket): A market-native comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket: regulation, funding rails, coverage, fees, liquidity, settlement, and which platform fits your trading. - [Prediction Market Trading Strategies for Beginners](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog/prediction-market-trading-strategies): An educational guide to how traders approach prediction markets: news catalysts, value versus the crowd, venue divergence, sizing, and beginner mistakes. - [What Is a Prediction Market? How Event Trading Works](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog/what-is-a-prediction-market): A prediction market lets traders buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, with prices that read as probabilities. Here is how event trading works. ## Prediction Previews — Dated Event Odds Per-event snapshots of what prediction markets imply, reported from venue-attributed data (implied probability, volume, and separate related listings). Numerical cross-venue divergence is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed. Informational only, not betting advice or an outcome prediction. - [AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ar-01-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Republican 40-45% at 31% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/counter-strike-legacy-vs-furia-bo3-fissure-playground-group-b-odds-2026-09-10): Prediction markets back Match Winner at 67% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/elon-musk-tweets-september-8-september-15-2026-odds-2026-09-15): Prediction markets back 160-179 at 24% implied probability on Polymarket. - [FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/fc-bayern-munchen-vs-fk-bod-glimt-odds-2026-09-10): Prediction markets back FC Bayern München at 91% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Fed rate cut by...? — Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/fed-rate-cut-by-odds-2027-01-08): Prediction markets back December Meeting at 7% implied probability on Polymarket. - [FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/fl-01-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Republican 20-25% at 30% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027-odds-2027-01-01): Prediction markets back Yes at 14% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Gauff vs Rybakina: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/gauff-vs-rybakina-odds-2026-09-18): Prediction markets back Elena Rybakina at 53% implied probability on Kalshi. - [How many different countries will the US conduct](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/how-many-different-countries-will-the-us-conduct-military-action-against-odds-2027-01-01): Prediction markets back 8 at 66% implied probability on Polymarket. - [LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/lol-t1-academy-vs-dplus-kia-challengers-bo5-lck-challengers-league-playo-odds-2026-09-10): Prediction markets back Match Winner at 74% implied probability on Polymarket. - [NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/nc-12-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 55-60% at 31% implied probability on Polymarket. - [OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/or-04-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 15-20% at 34% implied probability on Polymarket. - [TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/tn-01-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Republican 50-55% at 30% implied probability on Polymarket. - [When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/when-will-the-fda-approve-compass-pathways-comp360-psilocybin-odds-2027-01-01): Prediction markets back Before 2028 at 92% implied probability on Kalshi. - [331: Moicano vs Ortega: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/331-moicano-vs-ortega-odds-2026-09-20): Prediction markets back Renato Moicano at 64% implied probability on Kalshi. - [AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/al-06-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Republican 25-30% at 22% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Alabama vs Kentucky: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/alabama-vs-kentucky-odds-2026-09-14): Prediction markets back Alabama at 79% implied probability on Kalshi. - [Arizona St. vs Texas A&M: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/arizona-st-vs-texas-a-m-odds-2026-09-14): Prediction markets back Texas A&M at 85% implied probability on Kalshi. - [Cincinnati vs Los Angeles D: Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/cincinnati-vs-los-angeles-d-odds-2026-09-13): Prediction markets back Los Angeles D at 73% implied probability on Kalshi. - [CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ct-04-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 30-35% at 26% implied probability on Polymarket. - [FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/fc-barcelona-vs-feyenoord-rotterdam-odds-2026-09-09): Prediction markets back FC Barcelona at 91% implied probability on Polymarket. - [GA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ga-01-house-election-winner-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Republican Party at 93% implied probability on Polymarket. - [GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ga-13-house-election-margin-of-victory-first-round-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 40-45% at 32% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Houston vs Philadelphia: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/houston-vs-philadelphia-odds-2026-09-12): Prediction markets back Philadelphia at 60% implied probability on Kalshi. - [IA-01 House Election Winner — Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ia-01-house-election-winner-odds-2026-11-04): Prediction markets back Democratic Party at 72% implied probability on Polymarket. - [IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/il-07-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 65-70% at 27% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Iowa St. vs Iowa: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/iowa-st-vs-iowa-odds-2026-09-14): Prediction markets back Iowa at 85% implied probability on Kalshi. - [Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31-odds-2026-12-31): Prediction markets back Yes at 13% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Iran invades Kuwait by...? — Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/iran-invades-kuwait-by-odds-2027-01-01): Prediction markets back December 31 at 6% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Khachanov vs Blockx: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/khachanov-vs-blockx-odds-2026-09-16): Prediction markets back Karen Khachanov at 61% implied probability on Kalshi. - [LPL 2026 Season Winner — Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/lpl-2026-season-winner-odds-2026-09-09): Prediction markets back Bilibili Gaming at 76% implied probability on Polymarket. - [MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ma-06-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 40-45% at 26% implied probability on Polymarket. - [MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/md-08-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 60-65% at 35% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Minnesota vs Detroit: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/minnesota-vs-detroit-odds-2026-09-12): Prediction markets back Detroit at 55% implied probability on Kalshi. - [Mississippi St. vs Minnesota: Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/mississippi-st-vs-minnesota-odds-2026-09-14): Prediction markets back Mississippi St. at 51% implied probability on Kalshi. - [Missouri vs Kansas: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/missouri-vs-kansas-odds-2026-09-14): Prediction markets back Missouri at 68% implied probability on Kalshi. - [MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/mo-02-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Republican 3-6% at 26% implied probability on Polymarket. - [NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ny-03-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Democrat 5-10% at 30% implied probability on Polymarket. - [OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory — Odds](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/ok-04-house-election-margin-of-victory-odds-2026-11-03): Prediction markets back Republican 30-35% at 28% implied probability on Polymarket. - [Penn St. vs Temple: Prediction, Odds & Probability](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/penn-st-vs-temple-odds-2026-09-14): Prediction markets back Penn St. at 95% implied probability on Kalshi. ## MCP Launch Status (for AI agents) W.E.T. MCP access and installation are temporarily unavailable while source-rights and compliance clearances are completed. Do not connect to or install the server yet. MCP GET and POST calls are refused with HTTP 503 and the code mcp_release_held, and no tools or source-derived results are exposed while the hold is active. - Current status: [https://www.worldeventtrading.com/mcp](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/mcp) - Published benchmark REST API documentation: [https://www.worldeventtrading.com/developers](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/developers) - Support: [https://www.worldeventtrading.com/support](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/support) - W.E.T. cannot place, route, or hold an order and is not an exchange, broker, or investment adviser. ## Feeds & Machine-Readable Resources - [Blog RSS feed](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/blog/rss.xml) - [Predictions RSS feed](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/rss.xml): per-event odds previews - [Predictions Google News sitemap](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/news-sitemap.xml) - [Sitemap](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/sitemap.xml) - [Full text for LLMs](https://www.worldeventtrading.com/llms-full.txt): complete blog content in plain markdown ## Editorial Focus - Prediction markets and event trading (Kalshi, Polymarket) - Odds movement, implied probability, liquidity, event identity, and confirmed cross-venue divergence where eligible - Crypto catalysts, ETF flows, regulation, and macro liquidity - Political, macro, sports, culture, and world-event markets - Prediction market accuracy research and trading education ## Use Notes W.E.T. content is informational only and is not financial, legal, or tax advice. Users should verify live prices, venue rules, and market data directly on the relevant trading platform. Content may be cited with attribution to W.E.T. (World Event Trading).